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Bob Chill

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Everything posted by Bob Chill

  1. Bob Chill
    Crap, swell angle is wrong. We better hope this isnt right.
  2. Bob Chill
    Lack of is a prerequisite to participating in the sub. That's why lurkers are 10:1 active posters. Sanity is a base state for normal people. Wonder what it feels like.... hmm... nah, sounds boring AF and dumb. I'm out on sanity.
  3. Bob Chill
    Yea, but coming back appears to be at the expense of MY sanity (and my soul has fire ants crawling on it now)
  4. Bob Chill
    It's one of the reasons the board has lost its luster for me. The closing hours used to be an unbiased point/counterpoint discussion of how different parts of the storm could break in different areas (alongside weenie melts). Now it's just weenie therapy romper room and anyone who posts reality makes it worse. No biggie tho. Growing tired is a me problem.
  5. Bob Chill
    No time to post in storm thread but after a quick scan, even if I had unlimited free time I still wouldnt. Lol. Anyone who didnt expect to lose ground with temps and precip leading in hasnt learned a damn thing from their many mistakes this winter
  6. Bob Chill
    0z ARPEGE is a solid front thump. France secretly likes the US. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/arpege_amer_00/P1_GZ_D5_PN_039_0000.gif
  7. Bob Chill
    What if the 0z euro dumps 14 inches and you end up with 7?
  8. Bob Chill
    Gfs moving that way too. It's rain but the only problem is boundary layer. Gfs is too warm in mid range. Sno on sno
  9. Bob Chill
    Seems pretty likely we get a decent shot of snow first. I'm hoping for 3-4" before mixing. Heavy sleet on top of that is great. And by then we'll be tracking the friday wave and not care whats going on outside
  10. Bob Chill
    At least this time there will be snow sticking to everything first no problem. Sleet (possibly heavy) will make it a pretty high impact. I expect dc roads all the way to the river to be jacked up most of thurs. Maybe most of fri too if a hail mary streams in
  11. Bob Chill
    Yea, I know. I'm just forecasting his snow for him because he'll be busy on facebook.
  12. Bob Chill
    1.7? Dude, you're getting at least 2-3" of snow before the flip.
  13. Bob Chill
    Jokes aside, I know I'm getting sleeted on and prob enough to be annoying if I had to guess but sleet is still fun in it's own way. Seeing all these impulses riding is intriguing. My guess is an east trend. Crazy storm though. Full of surprises.
  14. Bob Chill
    Para and cmc are ok but I wont be satisfied until a 4th wave shows up.
  15. Bob Chill
    I often wish my ctrl+alt+del worked on other peoples computers Obligatory analysis. It will sleet more than a little in Rockville
  16. Bob Chill
    I think nam 3k kuchera isn't telling the whole story. It actually snows 4" in DC but the white asteroid and meteor shower pounds the snow into the ground.
  17. Bob Chill
    White asteroids
  18. Bob Chill
    Finally got some free time. And I spent the first 5 minutes of it with my eyes bleeding from the last 2 pages discussing the exact location of a digital blue H. I need relevant analysis like how much in Rockville.
  19. Bob Chill
    I'm way behind on 12/18z runs so nothing important to add. I did poke around with 18z 3k soundings... oh man, there are some SICK periods of snow. Even the sleet is raking everything in its path. Looks like a little instability is showing up around the snow/sleet line when it's rippin. Hopefully a met drops by and explains it better. I see the possibility of thunder in the heavy bands riding the mix line. Who doesnt like thundersleet?
  20. Bob Chill
    Someone please tag me in a post that captures euro 12z output and comparison to 6z. No play by play. Just the skinny. Not IMBY. I'm patient. No time to do it myself. Thanks!
  21. Bob Chill
    Reading between the lines, 12k NAM improved in the mids. First scud missile dodged.
  22. Bob Chill
    The whole "drying trend" is nothing more than guidance adjusting the overdone juicy mid range solutions. Practically every storm does it and is more obvious/pronounced with storms that arent blocked from gaining latitude. Imo- 6z was still very impressive qpf given the precip timeframe. Heavies.
  23. Bob Chill
    Unfortunately no time for me to participate until late afternoon. Imho- 12z meso thermals are important and should be weighted higher than globals now as long as there is no sig divergence with h5 progression. Also, about the right time for globals to start giving some back with heights/confluence. Hope not for sure but typically hard to avoid close in this year
  24. Bob Chill
    Zero line is dotted. All levels good. Rides the 0 line but it's 100% an all snow pounding in that frame
  25. Bob Chill
    Gfs really cut back on the primary to our west again. Almost coastalish now. Crazy
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