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Retrobuc

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  1. Retrobuc
    I'm a lurker, but I do financial modeling/forecasting for a living. Since every model called for a hyperactive season, how much do you feel groupthink plays into this? Meterology has become a business and it may be safer to stay with the pack than it is to venture out on your own. Its easier to be wrong with the group than to be wrong as an outlier. Interested to know what people here think. For the record, I said this season would be 13/8/2 in the contest. I feel pretty good about those numbers.
  2. Retrobuc
    To me the CSU forecast was always too bullish and it seems to have become a game of groupthink after that. You should always be cautious when forecasts for anything are 4-6x higher than the highest point.
  3. Retrobuc
    What is the timing on this?
  4. Retrobuc
    I can get behind this.
  5. Retrobuc
    I read earlier in the week about a large saharan dust layer, which usually makes development difficult. Why is that not the case here?
  6. Retrobuc
    Im near Daytona Beach and other than rough surf, there have been a few showers and even periods of sun.
  7. Retrobuc
    13/8/2
  8. Retrobuc
    I lived in NJ for 50 years until moving to FL a few years ago. These types of events rarely work out for most of NJ and the rain/snow line is usually well north of where its predicted. And resting hopes on the CCB snow being where its forecast is a fools errand. Enjoy whatever snow falls!
  9. Retrobuc
    Thanks, I think she is going to leave tomorrow morning for our side of the state (Volusia)
  10. Retrobuc
    Zone B, right on the border of A. She is just of the 275 causeway
  11. Retrobuc
    Ok, need your help. I'm a lurker whose read this board for awhile. I have niece who moved from PA to St Pete on Saturday and this is her welcome! She doesnt know if she should leave her apartment, she is on the border of evac zones A&B. I said she should, but dont want to overreact. Thoughts?
  12. Retrobuc
    I feel like most storms have moved east, but that's just a feel, nothing quantitative
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