vegan_edible

im with you my man. theres still hope. i even got 5 inches last feb on the 27th. its december 27th, i dont think cancelling is the way to go

tbh those 18z runs are so bad anyway, they're basically meaningless, but ive been dying to use that gif

18z GFS said bye winter

op run looks like hot garbage but the ens. isn't looking too bad. gfs op been out to lunch for a while now, lets look to see how the ec op run looks coupled with the ensemble

i'll supply the pallet if you do that in front of my works studio in gownaus, no one cares to hear me ramble about the pattern:/

come to the nyc forum friend. i can help

grew up in albany, went to school in savannah, ga, got an internship in LA, moved back to albany, then to san diego for work, then my gf got into school here in the city and i landed a job in the city. couldnt take much more of socal anyway, talk about boring weather patterns

ive bounced all over... but recently it was san diego to nyc metro

i think when i moved back here from california i killed winter. sorry guys :/

snooze fest thus far in white plains...

like clockwork

agreed 100%

i will say that the canadian models performed exceptionally well last winter, especially the RGEM. i wouldn't dismiss those so easily

def seeing some progress amongst the op models on wavebreaking and seeing some more seasonable temps during the holiday week. brooklynwx99 has been talking about this a lot today and i appreciate his input on things. whether it pans out or not is still highly uncertain due to how much these models flop but it is far more encouraging and fun to look at than what the past 3 days has been

mjo admitted he made a bad call. no need to call him out. go to the upstate thread if you're from bolton landing and wna act like a silly goose

just read that a little while ago, excellent post. while i do think december is gonna be a dumpster fire i do have some semblance of hope we get it cracking come mid january. patiently waiting for the models to drop those clues in over the coming weeks

seems as though we havent had our daily dose of mjo talk yet, so i'll just drop this here...

hour 342 on a off hours OP gfs run... idk im not buying in to that specific look right away

looking through ensembles and im not necessarily seeing some sort of blowtorch scenario unfolding, just 40's and seasonable air through the holidays. i dont know the extent of which this will hold but the big 3 (GEFS, EPS, CMC) all seem to have us locked in on that look. 12z OP GFS seems to allow some cooler air to flood in after the storm on the 18th, obvious take that with a *big* grain of salt but i feel as though this winter is not gonna be all doom and gloom and we do have the have chances to score with january climo

somebody gotta fire up the grill with all the weenies being tossed around in this thread

i somehow snagged like 5 inches last year feb 27th. i think we can score something this year

im praying at this point. we cant do 2 crapper winters in a row

https://www.ecmwf.int/sites/default/files/elibrary/2022/20281-investigating-biases-representation-pacific-sub-tropical-jet-stream-and-associated.pdf good stuff for anyone else who is new to the idea of how the mjo influences the pacific jetstream

18z gfs claiming im getting 4.2” here in wp monday when pigs fly