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Everything posted by Yardstickgozinya
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Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
They just have snow showers for me too. I believe they said something yesterday in their discussion posted here about not ironing out totals until Saturday. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... In the extended, all attention remains on model details associated with storms system tracking towards the mid Atlantic coast Sunday night and Monday. Model consensus showed a slight northward jog in QPF/snowfall overnight, only to return farther south with a flatter wave solution with 12z runs this (Fri) morning. Negative NAO/Positive PNA pattern means we`ll have to keep watching closely for the evolution, although upstream blocking high is absent which should act to favor the flatter wave and southern solution, keeping heaviest snowfall along and south of the Mason Dixon line. Still, this track will bring plowable snowfall to at least the southern third to maybe half of central PA beginning late Sunday night and continuing Monday, with many more details still yet to be determined heading into the weekend. Very preliminary ballpark ideas are that a coating to 2" could be in play across the central mountains, with 3-5 inches or more possible along the southern tier. In snowier solutions that only comprise 25% of members, the wave packet is more amplified allowing moisture to advect farther northward and jet forcing to be stronger. This could force the heaviest snow axis to land within our CWA, but again a flatter wave solution is favored at this time due to aforementioned factors. PoPs remain high and all snow Sunday night into early Monday, with snow likely winding down through the latter half of Monday. The storm is not fully within the 72-hour range of deterministic QPF and snow forecasts. Behind the departing storm system Tue-Thu, lake effect and upslope snow is expected in NWerly flow. Temperatures will run 5-10 degrees below average Mon-Wed, and may bottom out at 10-15 degrees below average for Thursday -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sorry @Bubbler86 I misread your post. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Prior to 2016 have we ever seen a transfer work out any where close to that one? -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Mood flakes here in New Cumberland. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Mitch West seems to be a little more responsible with his wording then some of the other guys on the platform. Youtube is becoming a major problem and it transcends just politics. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thanks for checking Bubbler. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
If it is it might be a way to sniff out tomorrow's winners early? -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
lightning density map showing anything for tomorrow? -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Looking even better down your way but nice trend indeed. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Apparently you didn't even watch thetournament. Sum Ting Wong had to battle nasty Pangolin and Cat injuries. Who Flung Dung was ponging like a pile Shit . -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Wang shibo looking great this year fellows. I don't think he can handle that blazing back hand or the table presence of Wong Chun Ting. It's almost like the ping pong balls fly out from under his sleeves or something. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I made fun of the computer forcast systems for many years here, mainly under another sn. It took me a while until I realized the amount of pride, emotions, and knowledge that these guys have for them. Im not a knowledgeable model guy, but I can tell you they are not relying on any single run to draw a final conclusion, but the high anxiety and emotions attached to every map here can make it seem like it at times with some poster's. The inferior models are used like a small factor in an equation. They are just looking for trends and hoping other models and solutions will follow and / or use it to compromise, blend, add, and eliminate from their own forcast and a lot more . These guys are very passionate about this stuff and do get pissed. The good news is It could have been worse had you said that in the Mid-Atlantic thread. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You'll be fine buddy I was just having fun with it. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That's blasphemy here, dude . One of the fellows here once served 8 years in the Perry County correctional institute for beating another member with his snow measuring bord just for confusing an operational with an ensemble. Then that snow crazed bastard actually shoved the yard stick in the other guys ass . Now I was told the poor fellow pulled through, but they needed an oral surgeon to remove the yard stick, and he now has a permanent square face, kind of like that SpongeBob Square Socks guy. I'm sure you're safe, but I personally would sleep on my back for the rest of the winter and only enter Perry County during. 00z, 06z 12z, and 18z for the rest of my life. This actually happened again a few years ago, and I heard that he settled with the blasphemer for a lifetime gold pivotal membership. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Really. I need to get off the cabbage. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I believe nearly every mod to strong aurora event this year had a dandy of a lightning display go through or NY PA MD VA and points east . -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It is impressive indeed. The thunderstorm development off the cost of VA and NC is also quite eye catching. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I don't doubt you did. I know from weenie experience that a good percentage of strokes don't get detected. and cc can travel crazy distance. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nothing up this way that's been detected yet. The main show is happening from DC down through central VA. Echoes are starting to look a little better up my way. Edit, Echos look wimpy up my way. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Listen here, buddy. I'm the most hated guy around here, and you're stealing all my fkn thunder. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I apologize, Bubbler. When I say us, I mean a few of the fellows that have posted about this before. I didn't mean to imply that you believe there is a correlation or scoff at those that do. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Both mother natural and gpu's are blowing there horns, probably time for all to listen and play close attention to both. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I know some scoff at those of us that look for lighting preceding cpa winter storms. It does seem doubtful there could be a correlation, but we have seen this so many times 4 to 6 days before many of this areas better winter systems ? It's probably more in response to the pattern change, but I say when there's winter, lightning snow often follows and often in a big way.