Jump to content

Winterweatherlover

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,142

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Winterweatherlover

  1. Winterweatherlover
    I don’t know what the gfs is doing looks nothing other models or it’s last run.
  2. Winterweatherlover
    I’d give it until tomorrows 12Z runs before totally throwing in the towel. Something like a secondary forming or CAD being stronger than modeled could still give parts of the sub forum (especially interior) some frozen precip.
  3. Winterweatherlover
    Random question but figured this would be a good place to ask does anyone know of any sites where one can bet on the weather?
  4. Winterweatherlover
    Not always I've definitely seen the models be too overamped in this range but 2 straight runs plowing into the lakes from the 2 models I trust the most is a pretty bleak sign.
  5. Winterweatherlover
    This is a really great point. I know we often say when it's a cutter the solution locks in a week out but snowstorms always come down to the wire but what you said is very true. Whether a low goes over Chicago Detriot or Pittsburgh it really makes no difference to us and we won't notice. The GFS is still like 700 miles SE of the other models but who really cares in this subforum.
  6. Winterweatherlover
    The best way to do that is move to places like Northern Maine Adirondacks Minnesota etc. NYC is not a good spot for this.
  7. Winterweatherlover
    Yea I think I read the other day sometimes you need a huge cutter to break the pattern. I still wouldn't be surprised if the storm next week ultimately transfers to a secondary similar to today not that it would really help many people on here.
  8. Winterweatherlover
    Yes we seem to get more snow chances/snow in March in recent years than in December.
  9. Winterweatherlover
    I actually think this December has been better than some recent past ones. A lot of northern and western parts of this subforum have already seen 3 snow events. The snow did make it into NYC and the immediate suburbs last Sunday. I can't remember the last winter it snowed much in or near NYC before Christmas.
  10. Winterweatherlover
    WhileIt's not looking promising I am a bit surprised by how many people have decided the outcome is determined 6-7 days out.
  11. Winterweatherlover
    Just a miserable storm been 42 and raining and wind for 24 hours now.
  12. Winterweatherlover
    The GFS didn't really cave in todays storm until 12 hours out so idk if I'd rely on that.
  13. Winterweatherlover
    I agree it's not great to be in the jackpot 7 days out but if the low was out halfway in the Atlantic I'd say we have a long way to go. Rarely do storms that are shown ramming into the great lakes end up trending to snow along or near I95 but realistically we are far enough out where I'd say give this another day before throwing in the towel.
  14. Winterweatherlover
    It may be too early to say anything is trending. I'm not feeling great about this one but its still far out.
  15. Winterweatherlover
    Yea it's actually below freezing the whole storm from the city and points NW.
  16. Winterweatherlover
    Ok after looking at the latest CMC/Euro runs I think I was wrong rain is a bigger concern than OTS. Having the gfs as the only model remotely close to what most of this subforum wants is not comforting.
  17. Winterweatherlover
    GFS OTS CMC rain (was OTS at 12Z) So yes a lot still on the table here.
  18. Winterweatherlover
    986 off the Carolina coast still big storm potential but looks mainly headed OTS this run.
  19. Winterweatherlover
    Wave 1 is a coastal scraper on the 0Z GFS we'll see if there is a wave 2
  20. Winterweatherlover
    I still think it's a little unusual for a non fall/spring storm. At this time of year a coastal hugger usually buries places like northern parts of our subforum to Albany. I guess the combo of the cutter in the lakes and lack of a truly cold antecedent atmosphere made this elevation dependent.
  21. Winterweatherlover
    GFS was horrendous with precip types for this storm. CMC/RGEM was spot on.
  22. Winterweatherlover
    Oy pretty sure the word "superstorm" jinxed this storm.
  23. Winterweatherlover
    This has got to be one of the more intense west vs east gradient storms in a while. It looks like it's raining up to Albany along the hudson river while snowing in NW NJ.
  24. Winterweatherlover
    Way too far out but would be more worried about supresssion than rain at this point given the pattern and level of cold air in place but I could be wrong about that.
  25. Winterweatherlover
    Unfortunately this was always going to be a difficult storm in terms of wintry precip east of the Hudson River. With that said there is some hint as the precip intensifies this evening that the rain/snow line may at least temporarily drag southeast.
×
×
  • Create New...