AtlanticWx
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Everything posted by AtlanticWx
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39.5 here in Germantown. Tanking.
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RAP especially is way warmer than SFC rn.
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yep right near 81 rn, i think it's falling behind? not sure i kinda doubt what the mesoanalysis says though because it's snowing in so many places with "above freezing" 850s and 925s as of now
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Encouraging to see, especially in an anafront like this. Locally, my temperatures (44.4) are running 2-3 degrees colder than any model right now.
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it looks like it's snowing in whitetail now, can't tell https://www.skiwhitetail.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/mountain-cams.aspx
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yeah cuz the rates will be nice to see anyways. and judging off the heavy snow in western areas of our region rn, looks heavy enough to maybe stick if possible
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anyone in cumberland? apparently it's snowing on radar
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48° here in Germantown. Warmer than NAM, colder than HRRR.
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what? observations look fine, don't know why you're freaking out over a global run 6 hours out. fwiw, 23z hrrr actually upped the ante with rates so
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aren't we running colder than models rn? dulles is at 48.9 rn which is colder than HRRR, RGEM, EURO, etc and only .9 degrees warmer than NAM & GFS
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i don't wanna jinx it but like this looks pretty nice so far
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front seems kinda ahead of modeled rn
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can someone give a rundown for whats changed about this event since last night? heard a lot of doom and gloom and down trending but idk if it's true
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yep, and the 90th percentile keeps increasing lmaoo. wonder if a day of trends will be enough to send this threat into something crazy (3" for nw folks? idk, j a thought but pretty absurd)
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i guess there's still spread, 90th percentile shows 7" with snow still coming down lmao
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not saying it matters at this range, but the gefs has had a lot of spread the past few runs. looks like it's continously converging to a snowier event and reducing the spread by shifting snower. 00z (had a more - tilt fwiw):
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we know it won't stick though, we wanna see the raw totals fr
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i think we'll be ripping snow regardless
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fair enough, i think i'm j reading too much into it. definitely more of a negative tilt though
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euro coming in with more of a - tilt, less snow for areas west tho and i'm not sure why
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if we can get one more day of trends like these, maybe we can have model outputs showing 6". just a thought tho, doubt it happens
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if anyone cares, RAP is better
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gfs better fs
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i remember it showing like 10" for march 2022 for the longest time
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new hrdps, less amplified and more of a positive tilt leads to a less snowier solution. gonna have to see what 0z does before seeing if this is a trend
