Wow
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Everything posted by Wow
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18z looks different
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Cleared cache on server side. Try now
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paying for upgrades.. i'll get to fixing the site
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I fixed it yesterday morning you losers. Go back and start pissing each other off.
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wut
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Worst winter in a while. Just a ton of more wet. Very few below freezing mornings. See ya next season.
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This would be worth going through all the cold (and warm) rain since the early Dec storm. A nice bookend winter.
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Sigh... I even got a little excited when the FV3 spit out single digit highs for this time period.
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Where's my snow??
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Want to see the PV trend west like the FV3 is doing. If this wave is going to dig this far south, we're going to need a full throttle phase earlier.. but not too early! Wish cast for me is a redux of March 93 dropping the whole motherlode but shifted east.
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996mb low crossing N FL. Cold air absent.
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Ain't no cold air being driven in on this one. HP is absent. THis is a manufactured cold air storm. Would like to see more separation of the s/w to get a decent confluence zone built in.
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Agree.. 850 freezing line is west of I-77. Based on the trough axis, it wouldn't be moving much further east unless is bombs out fast enough to pull the 850 low toward the sfc low center quickly enough. Even then it's still a W NC/SC/GA event.
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Wow the Euro is going for it at 168. Bombing out in the NE gulf
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Gonna need a strong PNA ridge to build to force that wave to dig that far south. This isn't like a weak STJ wave rolling through.
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Yes, for our parts, this is one where we will need some good phasing to pull it negative. This is Jan '96 style with a wave diving south from MT all the way to the GOM.
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effects of the shutdown... the NOAA daily wx map archive is down due to "lapse in appropriation"
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Too lazy to research but has there ever been recorded single digit highs for the piedmont area of NC?
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Looks like that awesome FV3 run from several days ago during end of the run was onto something! Same time period
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Good things are coming
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Yeah, there's a s/w moving through right after the big cold bombs starts to lift, leaving the 850mb 0 line over the FL panhandle. Then another big arctic high with -40C air moves south from the N plains. That's how you get a big snow from New Orleans to Savannah, 1899 style. C'mon, let's make it happen!
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Verbatim, the FV3 cold would beat the Jan '85 outbreak. Greater area under -30 or lower 850 temps (Sorry, I'm slightly bored this morning :D) FV3 forecast Jan 21, 1985, 0z
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FV3 has been consistent of a very deep trough setting up.. a PV displacement into the NE... with a full scale -NAO block. The temps are likely overblown of course, given climo, but looking more and more likely of a serious below avg period in temps will be setting up, starting next week.
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Wow the 18z FV3 puts us in the freezer after next weekend. The climax is in 2 weeks from Sunday with widespread highs in the teens and 20s. LOL. Last sub-20 high here was in Feb '96. Here is the 18z (2pm) temp forecast for Jan 27:
