78Blizzard
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Everything posted by 78Blizzard
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Another 5 or 6 hours of the good stuff yet to come. -
You can see in that water vapor imagery the blocking high up around Labrador that is what is going to drive this NW after it gets a bit past our latitude, and could be a factor in stalling it for a time south of us.
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That run really amped up from the 21z run.
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I remember that March 3-4, 1960 storm. I was 13 at the time and we didn't own a car living in Roslindale. My father left work at the Sears mail order plant in the Fenway and found the trains & buses not running. So he attempted to walk home in the storm (about 5-6 miles), but got only as far as the hospitals up Brookline Ave. and stayed at one of them for the night. Quite the storm.
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RGEM improved from 12z, but still appears weaker than other guidance.
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The RGEM starts between 11-12 tonight in Boston area, earlier than other guidance. Snow doesn't end until 24 hours later.
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Jim Cantore just said that "not only is this thing going to bomb, it's probably going to bomb twice". Whatever that means...
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That map was prepared before the 18z model runs.
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James shouldn't pay any attention to that TT snow map giving him 3-4 inches or so around Chatham. After 3-4 hours of some rain at the beginning, the NAM really brings the goods down there.
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Still going until 5z Wed. here.
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That could be the stall we have been looking for.
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The Ukie still looks to give 12+ to E MA, more for the Cape.
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3k NAM well E of 18z but still delivers the goods.
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As good as the HRDPS was, it was still not as good as the 12z, continuing the trend. But we don't toss.
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Well W of GFS, and even a bit NNW of 12z GFS.
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At this point, I'll take a Euro/NAM 50-50 compromise. Better yet, a Ukie/NAM compromise.
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The NAM will most likely begin the cave at 0z. The 3k has already done so.
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Yet they don't include Boston and Providence
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Quite possible, Tip. Especially since the UK doesn't go to British Saving Time (BST) until March 25th.
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It was in the same position at hr 48 at 12z vs hr 60 at 0z, and 3 mb stronger.
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Even the Ukie was still holding serve at 12z. For those with the JMA fetish, even it came N from 0z, lol. The euro is the outlier right now, king or not.
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I'd rather the Euro have its weird run now than 24 hours from now. Unless other guidance starts veering E, I'm confidant it will come back NW next run.
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I thought the king didn't have big changes like this from the previous run.
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Burbank also said: "While surface temperatures may stick around 31-34 degrees during the storm, the atmosphere is colder this time around. Thus, the snow should be less dense & that lighter-weighted snow should not produce as much tree damage & power outages."
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Barry Burbank's preliminary prediction from an hour ago. A more refined profile will be released with the arrival of updated guidance as the day progresses.
