78Blizzard

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

18z GEFS not very interested on the 5th, Mildly on the 7th, But focuses on the 10th away from the coast.

On the 7th storm, the high to our north was stronger and pushing down, so not a good sign.  A whiff/meh is still on the table.

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

For 80-90% of this forum, it’s going to be snow if the low tracks anywhere between the benchmark and ACK in the current synoptic setup. 
 

Now if we get more of a hugger, then you’re going to introduce more ptype issues. EPS has a lot more hugger solutions so that’s going to be messier…esp southern areas and coastline. 

SST in Boston as of yesterday was 46.6°F, which is a little warmer than even last year on Dec 30.

1 minute ago, deathridge said:

Whatever happens someone will wake up to more white stuff than they’ve seen all year.

Just as long as I'm one of those someones.

1 hour ago, deathridge said:

Who’s ready to be buried in sweet sweet white stuff?

Many of us in ENE, the Cape, and the South Coast region would prefer the GFS version at the same time frame:

Lots of anger in here today.  You think it would be resulting from the haves and the have nots, but we're all in the have nots category.  Mets fighting each other.  You hate to see it.

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

GEFS also west with 1/5.

Even a couple of inches would be a nice birthday present.

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

1999 is correct though-first TRACE 1/12/00.   Finished with 25 inches over the next 6 weeks.  Low season but half decent stretch and really cold.

Can't get away from the fact that 3 of the last 6 years to date have sucked.  That's what stood out to me in that chart.

43 minutes ago, weathafella said:

 

I'll always treasure my in-studio visit as a young boy with Don Kent.  After I had written a letter to him, I was invited to sit in on a live noon broadcast with him and Jack Chase.  My mother took me to the WBZ studio as I was about 12 then, and not having a car we took public transportation to get there.  As it turns out it was a snowy day, lol.

He was very gracious and took me into his office after the show for a little conversation, telling me to study hard to get into one of the few colleges that had meteorology programs back then.  As life would have it, I ended up taking a different route.

For not having a degree in meteorology, he knew his stuff.  The AMS agreed, as he was made a member.

35 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

After this multi day rainer departs The Next 3 systems give snow weenies the trifecta shaft. Too late, too suppressed, cutter. 

  The operative watchwords are "Flood Warning".

LOL. Complete lack of cold weather on the 0z GFS. Average daily of 8F AN for the period in BOS.

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Great movie 

 Yeah, I enjoyed it, too.

41 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Yeah it feels like we’re starting from scratch but we’re already deep in.  I’m surprised the usual suspects didn’t do a nana a boo-boo post with the long range op gfs (18z/28).

It's like watching Groundhog Day.  There's only so many times you can watch that movie.

As we have seen this month, "flood warnings" are in and "winter storm warnings" are out.  Let's turn that around next month.  At this point I'll even take a WSW that flops into a 2-3" meh just to see some snow on the ground.  Raking twigs and leaves today from last week's storm was no fun.  Never have I raked like this in late December.  Just a few inches of snow would have hid all that crap, at least until the next rainer.   

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah... yeah, this should cheer everyone up

That has a better chance of verifying than this from 0z:

53 minutes ago, RDRY said:

21,240 minutes to lock it in.

Nice eye candy,  I wonder when was the last time a 14 day prog with a winter hurricane verified, lol.  25 mb drop in 12 hours is some serious bombogenesis.

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Super Grinch ugly.

Last year you gave December a D-.  With 5 days left, how about a grade for TY?

LOL at the 12z GFS.  We've seen this movie too many times.  Storm after storm passes to our south.  Then when the pattern flips, we will get the cutters.      

It's only one run, but the 0z GFS has virtually no qpf for the next two weeks following Thursday's now minor rain event.  We'll see.

I'm getting déjà vu reading some of these posts.  It felt like I was transported back a year to this forum.

Meteorologists on social media are posting weather models about the increasing threat of a so-called sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) over the Arctic, which could unleash wintry weather across the eastern half of the US in the new year. 

Could we move this 2 day 1/3-1/5 blizzard northeast about 1800 miles?

Enjoy those flurries and squalls while they last.  But for those who want a white Christmas, it looks like you'll have to go to the Canadian border to get it.

42 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

And has been. Take a white Christmas to the bank .

Maybe for NNE.  Very doubtful for SNE, despite the clueless guidance. 

27F here now.  0z GFS had us at 35F, lol.  They need to revise those big city heat effects as they take them out too far from the inner city.

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Gfs vs the world for next weeks snower 

https://x.com/eweather13/status/1718012634660733236?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

LOL GFS.  It went from a high here on Sunday of 47F at 12z run to a high of 56F at 18z.  Typical GFS 48 hour forecast.