78Blizzard

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The bogs need love too.

Yeah, you weren't giving them much yesterday.

Is there any chance that bad data was ingested that was thus picked up by all models? 

Also, if you look at the last 6 runs of the 3k NAM, it has consistently brought the outer limits of the qpf shield down from upstate NY to where it is now on each successive run.  So this has been telegraphed to some degree, but the Euro didn't pick up on it that quickly.

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

18z HRRR crushes NYC.

What a system for modeling.

Even a 30-40 mile shift back N will make a big difference for many.  This isn't done yet.

25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

EPS

The Cape is waiting for the apologies for being dumped on yesterday when claiming to be in the jack.

8 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said:

It's a little unsettling that Uncle hasnt budged.

It's actually worse.  Probably don't even need a WSW for most if that verifies.

Quite a difference now between the juicier mesos and the Euro and Ukie.

Euro takes a step toward the Ukie.

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

King ukie

There will be a lot of this   if that Ukie verifies.

03z RAP is also really juiced:

0z FV3 really juiced.

6 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

00z ICON is south. Looks a bit like the 18z Euro now.

The ICON is reflecting taint for BOS south, including some inland areas.

7 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

What would be really funny is the 18z GFS verifying so that 2-4" became 20" down on the outer Cape.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Gfs is such a torch lol. I’d sell those temps inland for sure.

They really need to correct that model's warm bias.  It is worse than the previous iteration.

Congrats Chatham.

The 3k NAM says 1"/hr rate minimum between 13z and 21z, with 2"/hr at times for BOS area.

The NAM has never been bullish about this system for us, save for one run.

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The Euro is the only model showing more snow on the Kuchie than the 10-1 map for EMA areas.

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

 

Ray might get an inch out of that, lol.

Let's see if the last holdout, the Ukie, can get on board now.

2 minutes ago, RDRY said:

Does the CMC rank at the bottom of the big-four globals? It's consistently dreadful.

It was keeping with the trend, though, as it's further N than 12z.

10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

There definitely is a lot of reverse psychology voodoo going on in here right now. People are so afraid to get burned 

I'll go out on a limb then and say that we will overachieve this time.

Euro has 925 50 kt winds for most of EMA, which could easily transfer some of that to the surface at the height of the storm. Definitely will have blizzard conditions there if that verifies.

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs is warm in many areas. Definitely not like nam. 

Showing its warm bias again.  It is 4-9°F warmer here than every other model at the onset.

Just now, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

00z UKMET is starting to latch on to the idea of a cohesive snowstorm. Still way south.

Carbon copy of the Canadian.

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Care to post the 0z now?

Here's the 0z.  What it tells me is that runs every 6 hours out in la la land are almost worthless, as evidenced from some of these 6 hour changes.