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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    Yet their discussion said "an advisory level event is the most likely scenario."
  2. 78Blizzard
    I'll go with the RGEM, which has been the most consistent with this system. It gives my hood .45 for the 6 hrs ending 18z and .13 for the 6 hrs ending 0z.
  3. 78Blizzard
    So it's American models that are the outliers now.
  4. 78Blizzard
    Didn't he say he was more concerned about p-type issues than a whiff, without mentioning specific areas?
  5. 78Blizzard
    Every model is entitled to a burp run.
  6. 78Blizzard
    Like the steadfastness of the RGEM and its track, which I've said all along would be between ACK and the BM.
  7. 78Blizzard
    Half of that qpf is from tomorrow's rains.
  8. 78Blizzard
    More like,
  9. 78Blizzard
    When the Euro ticks further west from 18z, some will wonder what all the fuss was about with the NAM, a lousy model.
  10. 78Blizzard
    That's assuming the NAM is considered a major model. I don't.
  11. 78Blizzard
    So do I. But that wasn't what was asked.
  12. 78Blizzard
    I know all that. I was talking about the energy being transferred.
  13. 78Blizzard
    Look at it this way. How often has the NAM been right at this point in time vs the Euro? Easy decision.
  14. 78Blizzard
    The problem looked to be that convection off NC forming another low further out.
  15. 78Blizzard
    Going east.
  16. 78Blizzard
    I was wondering if someone was going to use that worn out cliche.
  17. 78Blizzard
    Given the obvious rain keeping totals down for the cape, they must be projecting a track closer to ACK. Given that, I don't get the widespread 4-6 for much of the area. Surely SE areas should do better under that scenario. The east track of the GFS had 9" for ACK.
  18. 78Blizzard
    When the GFS jacks ACK, you know it's not good. And I use jack lightly.
  19. 78Blizzard
    That RGEM track is what I expect will happen.
  20. 78Blizzard
    Lack of snow has everyone on edge...
  21. 78Blizzard
    Ok. I guess by that measure I'm about 13 miles sw then.
  22. 78Blizzard
    Did you move? I thought you were 5 miles from Boston. I'm 11 miles SW of Boston.
  23. 78Blizzard
    Neither the Euro or the GFS has covered itself in glory thus far.
  24. 78Blizzard
    Euro will be 75-100 mi NW at 0z and will hold serve for the remainder. JMO.
  25. 78Blizzard
    I hate to say this, but we ride the latest NAM.
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