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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    Getting close to bombogenesis.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Better for western areas, not much change otherwise.
  3. 78Blizzard
    Even the full cape now, too. So much for that 0-2" many tv mets had.
  4. 78Blizzard
    It's chasing that offshore convection instead of consolidating the low as the RAP is showing.
  5. 78Blizzard
    If that convection to the east fades away, it doesn't have to move any further west for a meaningful change. But I don't expect that to happen.
  6. 78Blizzard
    I prefer to compare to 0z and ignore the off hour run. That was a marked improvement from 0z.
  7. 78Blizzard
    Ukie improved from 0z
  8. 78Blizzard
    Looks like we are getting some of those positive surprises tonight that I mentioned earlier. One thing is for sure, though. Whatever pack we get isn't going away anytime soon. Sunday only 35-36F here for highs and we don't sniff freezing for over a week.
  9. 78Blizzard
    It seemed to have the right idea in the mid range, but lost it in the short range.
  10. 78Blizzard
    Nice, but an outlier from what we have seen thus far.
  11. 78Blizzard
    Based on the mesos thus far they will have to take those 1-2" amounts on the cape up quite a bit.
  12. 78Blizzard
    More than doubled the qpf from 18z here.
  13. 78Blizzard
    I think the Euro will tic even further west at 0z.
  14. 78Blizzard
    RAP quite bullish BOS on south thru the Cape with a BM track.
  15. 78Blizzard
    I think the mid 30's will be when the storm departs.
  16. 78Blizzard
    I think the TV mets may be underestimating the amounts for the Cape. In some scenarios they could be the jack.
  17. 78Blizzard
    I have that same gut feeling that some positive surprises lay ahead.
  18. 78Blizzard
    3k gives me .82 qpf vs 12k's .24. That's quite a big difference between the two.
  19. 78Blizzard
    Getting close to a year for coastal CT peeps...
  20. 78Blizzard
    Yet their discussion said "an advisory level event is the most likely scenario."
  21. 78Blizzard
    I'll go with the RGEM, which has been the most consistent with this system. It gives my hood .45 for the 6 hrs ending 18z and .13 for the 6 hrs ending 0z.
  22. 78Blizzard
    So it's American models that are the outliers now.
  23. 78Blizzard
    Didn't he say he was more concerned about p-type issues than a whiff, without mentioning specific areas?
  24. 78Blizzard
    Every model is entitled to a burp run.
  25. 78Blizzard
    Like the steadfastness of the RGEM and its track, which I've said all along would be between ACK and the BM.
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