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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    We shouldn't be handing out our best and worst model awards at d14-20 either.
  2. 78Blizzard
    I thought we were talking about d5-d8, not d14-20.
  3. 78Blizzard
    So then we are saying the GFS op and the GEFS are both crap.
  4. 78Blizzard
    The GFS ensembles at d5-d8 were no better either. Just look at their upper levels back then. Quite a difference from the Euro ensembles.
  5. 78Blizzard
    GFS has been quite steadfast for the last 3-4 days now. It will be a big cave if and when that happens.
  6. 78Blizzard
    If "substantially" is 20 miles or so, ok. But CMC was 20 miles south. That was comparing at hr 120.
  7. 78Blizzard
    True, but the GEFS looks even better to me. So again, let's look at the ensembles if not the op.
  8. 78Blizzard
    And aren't we always told to look at the ensembles, not the op... 6-7 days out?
  9. 78Blizzard
    Keep hugging the CMC...
  10. 78Blizzard
    Complete white out here.
  11. 78Blizzard
    The United Kingdom's Met Office is expecting wind gusts as high as 100 mph Friday in coastal areas of western Wales and southwestern England, according to BBC.com.
  12. 78Blizzard
    3z RAP keeps getting more bullish.
  13. 78Blizzard
    The only guidance that hasn't moved NW at 0z is the Canadian suite.
  14. 78Blizzard
    Almost an hour since the last post tells me this threat is dead, unless we have some NAM riders here.
  15. 78Blizzard
    Like Kev said earlier, it looks like somewhat of a SNE hit with an ENE movement as it approaches.
  16. 78Blizzard
    That is how this is shaping up, imo.
  17. 78Blizzard
    Agreed. It isn't.
  18. 78Blizzard
    I thought the NAM and RGEM at 18z had major differences at h5.
  19. 78Blizzard
    Just a nitpick... The Pats beat the Rams in 2019, so its been three consecutive years, not four. Three is bad enough...
  20. 78Blizzard
    It was a big move by the Euro, but too little, too late. Can't expect big moves like this again.
  21. 78Blizzard
    It's time for the king to put up or shut up.
  22. 78Blizzard
    If the 12z GFS is right, after the warmup the next 2 days, the next two weeks should be about -4F BN. BOS will be lucky to touch 40 during this period. So much for those weekly calls for AN February. That is, unless things change dramatically the last 10 days. I guess the groundhog saw the GFS this morning.
  23. 78Blizzard
    That's 10" of sleet here and no measurable snow. The rest is rain - over 2" of it. Not going to happen this way with over 3" of qpf, lol.
  24. 78Blizzard
    Not according to this:
  25. 78Blizzard
    2.5 days out it's safe to say this will be a Nowcast for many areas.
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