78Blizzard
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Everything posted by 78Blizzard
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The Euro won't be denied. The 12z was its burp run. -
That's the result of having so many models creating so much noise.
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Notice I said for the short term. It was the Euro that got smacked around this time.
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GFS may be the new king, at least for the short term. I wonder what changed for the Euro to cave so much on this run? In any case, I look forward to a good 4-8" here in E MA.
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We'll see if the Euro wants to be out on an island.
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GFS not caving. Almost 1" of qpf here in E MA.
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I'd take it and run here.
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Yeah, but he claims the Canadian model wins.
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Anyone calling it over an RGEM run isn't worth listening to.
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Even though the qpf was less this run on the NAM, thanks to the colder run the end result of the total snow is still the same in many areas as at 18z. Thanks, Kuchie... That would be about 7" here.
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NAM is coming in colder this run.
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If NAM/GFS runs are "crazy" at this late stage, then what good are they?
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The NAM has gone in the opposite direction of the Euro over its last 4 runs after being strung out at 0z. I know, it's the NAM...
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The 18z GFS is on crack. Looks nothing like the 12z Euro.
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Great, January is not even half over yet and we have a new thread to begin our meltdowns.
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Lock it up!
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Euro says hold on with that extreme cold all next week. It may be fleeting.
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I'm ready for the extreme cold for the following week, with highs in the low to mid teens and lows near or below zero for the whole week. Cold and dry. You just know we'll follow that with a big warmup and rain, with the ensuing meltdowns.
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That storm the GFS had at 12z for day 10 going ots doesn't even exist on this run.
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Finally hit double digits for the season here with the 2" thus far. Picked up really good here over the last hour+.
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At least we have both the GFS and the Euro agreeing on a storm on day 10, but the h5 differences show a whiff for the GFS and a hit for the Euro. Even CMC agrees on a storm on day 10. This may be a first this winter with all 3 showing a storm off the SE coast at day 10. The Euro has that 2nd wave enhancing things while the GFS sends it ots. Again, those h5 differences come into play. At least we have something to track.
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Perhaps we will even bust a bit higher. At least in metro west this may be the season that we see our totals increasing from busts of smaller systems rather than from blockbusters. Hopefully we get that 2-3" to bring the season total to double digits here.
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3k NAM more bullish this run with 2-3" here. Later start and end, too. With temps in the 20's and frozen ground, this should accumulate.
