78Blizzard

That looked to be quite fleeting. Didn't do anything good after that depiction.

?

5 days ago this 8-day snapshot was being ridiculed because it conflicted with what many were saying or thinking would be a pattern flip a couple of days or so later. Well, we are now 3 days out from this snapshot and the pattern does not appear to be changing after 12/6. Perhaps some of the reactions could be of the kinder, gentler variety. As we have seen, no one here has a lock on when the next pattern change takes place. Just saying...

NO. Usually when it's cold in the west it's warm in the east. We usually want to the see the ridge out west for it to be possibly good here.

I wonder if someone hacked into the models to make them think this was still November, lol. Because this period of warmth and rainer after rainer sure seems like November.

It gets worse after that. The temps never get as low as the 30's let alone below freezing in BOS until mid month according to the latest GFS. That is, after Monday.

First we have to go through 3+ days next week with temps stuck in the 50's all day and all night. Then the cold blast hits. The secondary on the 12th looks to slip to our south.

Yeah, we're a couple of post WWII babies. My father had returned from the Pacific aboard a destroyer that took part in the last battle at Okinawa, got married, and the rest is history.

Happy birthday young man. My 76th is 5 weeks from today.

Then worry turns to .

Well, at least the heating bills won't be staggering this month.

What a change from 12z on the 18z GFS, lol. Let's see if the GEFS follows suit.

It seems that we question the credibility of posting an 8 day op, yet some here think nothing of posting a 21-28 day weekly as though there is some sort of credibility in that, especially how those have been lately.

But they keep telling us climo is changing...

18z GFS and GEFS says it's going to be boring weather for the next 2+ weeks, with no cold outbreaks and no or little snow for most of us.

Looks like the 18z GFS has a torch for SNE to end the month thru the first several days of December.

Actually, the Ukie was the one leading the way yesterday that it would be a dud.

That's more than we get around these parts here in most winters.

Be funny if the 12z Ukie proved correct and everyone was looking up at cirrus.

These temps wouldn't put people in the holiday mood for Black Friday, especially in E areas. These temps or CMC's would be more in the holiday spirit. Still 9 days out though.

LOL

Guess I need to quit procrastinating and get the rest of my leaves picked up this week if the Euro is right for Sunday.

Down to 40F here now. Probably end up around 36F for the low. Previous low has been 46F on a couple of occasions. I've noticed for quite a while now that this new GFS has a warm bias, overstating highs and lows much of the time and not just by 1 or 2 degrees.. For example, tonight's 18z GFS shows a 06z temp here of 43F. By then we will be at 38-39F. And the 12z GFS showed a 18z temp here of 60F. The high for the day here was 56F. Perhaps the close proximity to Boston and the ocean is causing this bias, I just don't know. But I'm sure radiational cooling plays havoc with the temp modeling.

It may be out in la la land, but it's still quite a 6 hr change. I'm betting on the 12z version as that seems to be where we are this summer.

As recent as the 06z GFS, it had 71F here at 18z. We never made it past 54.