SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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I'm gonna try to be objective from a normie perspective but the amount of damage that would occur from the NAM verifying would be extreme. We're talking major coastal flooding, major power outages, a shutdown for days. Something out of this world.
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I agree. HRRR has ticked up max amounts vs 18z. Really maximizes impacts over our region. SNE gets the occluded version
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Globals don't matter much this close. Now it's about the short term models. The RAP, the HRRR, the NAM, even the SREFS.
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Mesos ramping up which is good
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Switching to mesos soon. That's where the real intricacies will lie. An explosive storm like this will want to tuck further west. Nam might be closer than we think
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Feels like the type of system where amounts will keep going up until game time
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HRRR has like 6+ hours of legit blizzard conditions for everyone very far inland. So crazy if that verifies.
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Lol dude is still mad his area got skunked with the Jan storm
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That's where the mesos come in. Globals can miss these slight variations
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If the Nam verifies we're all getting a blizzard and there will be major coastal flooding. Strong winds well inland
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Mesos will have more weight than globals soon. This is a very extreme storm. A sub 970 storm south of LI is no joke
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The HRRR is a blizzard. Crazy strong winds covering all of Jersey
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Mt Holly covered its bases well here. 8-16 forecast, takes care of the Euro's lower tier and touch bases of GFS/NAM.
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How accurate is this that far out?
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Yes please. Being in New Brunswick I can afford some NW ticks.
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Euro never liked this storm.
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It's been back and forth a lot with this. But of course a further east track is definitely possible
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That looks like pure trash
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Looked like garbage but it is DT so yeah
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I don't buy the lighter precip with an intensifying storm. That seems to be a big difference between the snowier models vs the less snowy ones
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Someone's getting 3-4"+ rates and thundersnow. The frontogenesis is ridiculous
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I'm looking at 18hrs out and I can assure it won't lol
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The NWS & Mt. Holly have a lot of updating to do tomorrow.
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I remember Tombo. Those play by plays of Boxing Day were awesome
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They will be
