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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Yeah GFS held or even ticked a bit colder. Rgem was colder, Icon too. Nam still drops 6-8" before any flip.
  2. This will be the longest stretch of snow on the ground that I can remember. And that sleet will form a glacier essentially
  3. More sleet and snow. Those rates before the transition could be insane (3-4"/hr)
  4. And more room to get colder too. Models increasing precip aka a bigger thump and more sleet on top.
  5. Nam is my worst case. 6" of snow + 2-3" of sleet on top is nightmare fuel.
  6. To be fair the icing potential, which will cause the biggest impacts is substantial and covers a massive region. This storm is a very big deal for many. We've dealt with a lot worse but those south will see historic winter weather.
  7. Agreed the historic storm will come later. This is just the beginning
  8. Sleet will happen, not much you can do but you'll get the wall of snow no matter what. At least we're not pulling our hair out over whether we'll get a near miss from a coastal. It doesn't get more brutal than missing a 1-2' storm by 50 miles.
  9. Man if the GFS idea is right about the quick coastal transfer then the ceiling is very high
  10. It transfers a lot faster. This is the best case scenario It'd be 14-20" pretty much area wide
  11. Rgem is always over amped and runs warm btw. It's also very inaccurate beyond 48hrs
  12. That's why Mt Holly is going higher. Ratios for half the storm could be quite high given ideal snow growth and temps
  13. Mt. Holly and Co are betting on high ratios to start for higher totals. If ratios do hit 15:1 then maybe.
  14. I hope we don't get 6-8" of snow with 2" of sleet on top. With temps as cold as they are that'll create a giant skating rink with horrendous plowing & travel conditions. That's far worse impact wise than a pure 12-15" snowstorm
  15. Agree 100% Rare possibility of more upside than downside I think. Also if precip falls hard enough near the transition zone that we could hold onto snow longer boosting amounts by 2-4"
  16. Sure would be nice for the GFS to score for once. GEFS also look great
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