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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    It's dumping right now. We definitely got what PA should have gotten
  2. SnoSki14
    This will definitely help with colder thermals for tomorrow. Dynamics are my biggest concern
  3. SnoSki14
    I'm very conflicted about tomorrow and so are models. Thermals and dynamics are a concern
  4. SnoSki14
    Heavy stuff right now. Very strong thermal gradient driving these rates.
  5. SnoSki14
    Anything beyond 4-5 days is pure fantasy but the pattern will support a lot more snow
  6. SnoSki14
    Rgem thermals tend to run too warm but it is concerning
  7. SnoSki14
    Nice dusting now and coming down.
  8. SnoSki14
    Nam looked really nice.
  9. SnoSki14
    You get the overrunning and then precip from coastal.
  10. SnoSki14
    Temperatures could make a big difference with regards to accumulation. I'm at 29F now, I see the city at 35-36 which is not good. Need 12z to hold or shift west otherwise 6z runs are more fluky than anything
  11. SnoSki14
    Really emphasizes that when things get warm they shatter records and the opposite side is only average to modestly BN at best.
  12. SnoSki14
    ???
  13. SnoSki14
    Nice test of the AI models, we'll see if they have a clue
  14. SnoSki14
    Best chance is late Jan into Feb. If nothing works out then honestly I don't know what it'll take to get a significant coastal storm.
  15. SnoSki14
    Hard disagree. There's nothing to stop it from trending NW
  16. SnoSki14
    There's a kicker out west that should keep this to our east otherwise this would probably trend too far west.
  17. SnoSki14
    There's heavy west lean potential here. Doubt it's done trending
  18. SnoSki14
    I think we'll get something in this period but the better stuff waits til late Jan into Feb. Upcoming pattern is likely the most favorable pattern for snow and significant snows that we've had in years. And peak snow climo too.
  19. SnoSki14
    I'll take a grazer this far out. These things always trend too far west in the end
  20. SnoSki14
    Snow chances will start to increase a lot in a week or so. MJO going to 8 again. Just not sure if it'll be more of what we saw in December or something more noteworthy. Hopefully the flow can slow down enough to allow shortwaves to dig and amplify.
  21. SnoSki14
    This has legs I think. Really nice ridge out west. Just hope the flow isn't too fast
  22. SnoSki14
    This week was always a long shot but I'd watch the 18th to see if models trend more favorably given the +PNA now setting up.
  23. SnoSki14
    I like the ensemble trends. Actually not bad considering it's still 4 days out.
  24. SnoSki14
    Yes by quite a bit. I guess that's all we can ask for right now.
  25. SnoSki14
    I think odds remain low for a snow event with this storm but at least there's something to track
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