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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. It's good for verifying mixing but only in the short range. It's not reliable beyond 36hrs
  2. I hope Nam is wrong because this will be a nasty ice event here. Surface temps aren't budging away from the coast and will probably verify colder than models show.
  3. WSW with 10-15" which is a bit high. I would've gone with 8-12" which is the model consensus but we'll see if those early ratios make up for it.
  4. There's a sneaky clipper that tries to amplify as it dives in ahead of any early Feb threat. Keep an eye on that
  5. They are banking on high ratios to get it done but those rarely go more than 12-13:1
  6. The Nam went from the least snowy to one of the snowiest in 1 run lol Hence why you should use it sparingly beyond 36-48hrs
  7. Yup the more intense the precip the more it'll fight back against mixing.
  8. We might set some modern snow pack longevity records with no warm ups in sight after the storm. That glacier will last a very long time
  9. Once it gets under 48hrs we'll pay attention. Even so it still has the 6-8" front end dump before any changeover. That's pretty much the floor with this.
  10. Yeah GFS held or even ticked a bit colder. Rgem was colder, Icon too. Nam still drops 6-8" before any flip.
  11. This will be the longest stretch of snow on the ground that I can remember. And that sleet will form a glacier essentially
  12. More sleet and snow. Those rates before the transition could be insane (3-4"/hr)
  13. And more room to get colder too. Models increasing precip aka a bigger thump and more sleet on top.
  14. Nam is my worst case. 6" of snow + 2-3" of sleet on top is nightmare fuel.
  15. To be fair the icing potential, which will cause the biggest impacts is substantial and covers a massive region. This storm is a very big deal for many. We've dealt with a lot worse but those south will see historic winter weather.
  16. Agreed the historic storm will come later. This is just the beginning
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