tarheelwx

Maybe the ULL cranks and then energy transfers offshore. Not saying it’s right but I suspect that’s what it’s showing. TW

If history repeats itself as it has over and over again, precip in the triad will quickly wind down once the low moves north of hatteras. Book it. TW

It happened on Saturday morning during the storm of the century. No power but it came through on the weather radio. TW

Thanks for that. I was at Big Sky skiing for that one. I didn’t realize you guys had one. I’m pretty certain we did not in the triad. TW

I've lived in NC for 59 years and we have had a blizzard warning only once in the March '93 Superstorm. Maybe we can get there again this weekend. TW

15:1 vs 10:1 …… just take what it shows and multiply times 1.5. TW

It really hits the breaks and is near ideal location for central NC. I'm surprised there isn't more precip. TW

I think some of us old timers here in NC saw the writing on the wall last night - light precip. Dry slot, final “band” likely to underperform. I think it’s a bust for those that didn’t factor in the dry slot and lower qpf. The cold air and CAD was simply a matter of sleet vs ZR and we all know how that often shakes out with anonymously cold air. Hat off to the NAM on the dry slot. As for the cold and ptypes, seasoned Mets should have know. TW

I think you’ll see those moderating temps continue to spread out. Difficult for those heavy rates to freeze on impact - warmer droplets, heavier rates, and warmer surface temps. Just saying. TW

Spot on - skinnier line, “warmer” temps, heavy rates will likely minimize the impact east of the mountains. I’ve lived in the CAD zone 59 years and have never seen a trailing line like this deliver heavy accrual. This could certainly be the first, but my experience points to much less impact than many are assuming. TW

That should cover it. Great service! TW

2pm

My NWS forecast for Colfax has max wind today and tonight at 7 mph. What’s up with that? TW

For the Triad, 1-2” of sleet and 0.25-0.5 ZR. So yes a major ice storm, but I just don’t see severe or crippling in the cards. Outages for sure but we’ll dodge the ZR hype that’s out there. TW

I’ve seen this happen a few times here in the triad in the last 40 years where the models show a strong line of precip/zr with rising temps to close out an event. Every one of them were all bark and little to no bite - moderate to heavy “warm” rain has a hard time freezing at 31/32 degrees. In the 20’s is a different story. This could be a first, but to me, this event is getting much clearer. TW