Hurricane Agnes

And HAPPY NEW YEAR BACK! To the Philly forum - raise a glass.

6z GFS (also tending to keep it inland and/or along the coast).

Made it up to 44 yesterday after a low of 41 and the air really dried out as the dp tanked down into the 20s yesterday afternoon after a week of moist. Currently 38 with dp 30. 0z 3k Euro for the possible threat.

It kept misting and drizzling last night but finally finished up with 0.37" for the day (2.15" for the 2-day event). I am a tenth of an inch short of 10" of rain for the month of December (am @ 9.90"). Bottomed out at 44 this morning, and like others, was shocked to see that yellow orb in the sky this morning (was expecting some lingering stratus/fog but that was not to be). Currently 52 and partly sunny with fluffy cumulus and dp 42.

I used to use the Drives to go into work and I remember what it was like down there when the water receded after the heavy rain we got about a week after the 1996 blizzard. The huge plowed snow mounds along that little street that parallels the Drive, were still intact up on that little hill where the gas station is (near Calumet/Falls Bridge where the news stations stage live shots). The flood water line was visible about halfway up the mounds. The river had gotten so high with the melt and rain that there was a huge tree trunk that got wedged way up into the arch of one of the railroad bridges and was there almost a year before they finally removed it. They have done a lot of road work along there over the past 10 years for flood mitigation but it doesn't seem to have helped. Still getting on and off measurable and have another hundredth for 0.33" today (2.11" for the 2 days). Temp hanging in at 53 with dp now 53.

Looks to have peaked just before noon and is coming down. It did that with the last big rain (about as high). Still getting nickel and dime measurable and now up to 0.32" for the day (2.10" over 2 days). Temp is a misty 53 with dp 52.

Low here this morning has been 48 and I saw the Schuylkill is out of its banks along with the Wissahickon Creek. Currently 51 and dp 51 with a couple more hundreds inches of rain from something that backed in off the coast, bringing the 2-day total to 2.08" (0.30" for today).

The one thing I recall that lead up to the break of the >6" snow drought in 1978 was that the year before - 1977 - was outright bitter cold glacial. Because I rode 2 SEPTA buses to go back and forth to high school then and lived in a hilly area, there were times after flash freezes of earlier rain, when the bus didn't bother to come or diverted far out of my way and I needed to walk (slip slide) to wherever they detoured the bus stop to due to glacial sheets of ice everywhere. It was a nightmare although obviously being WAAAAYYYY younger helped. Sporadic periods of that level of cold continued on and off for the next 15 years into winter of 1994, when Philly experienced its last below 0 temp on January 19, 1994. It is now coming up on 30 years where Philly (at least KPHL) has not gone below 0 since. Ray was keeping up with the RERs for this rain event - After highs of 48 Tues & 49 yesterday (with a low of 43), I ended up with 1.78" overnight and 0.28" (with some right at midnight) today for a 2-day total of 2.06" (so far) and a December total of 9.81" of rain. It's currently a misty 49 with dp 49.

Hope everyone had a Merry Christmas and with the warm theme, I made it up to 50 on Christmas Eve and 51 on Christmas Day after respective lows of 38 & 39. I have so far had 7.75" of rain for the month of December, definitely making up for the October deficit after a November that made the attempt to do that. Expecting more this week to boot. Am currently at my low this morning of 43 with dp 43 and overcast skies. Haven't really had any fog here as a breeze had kicked up overnight, but there is some low stratus around.

Well my Wed - Fri lows managed to be at or below freezing (28, 32, 28), but this morning's low of 30 was hit at 2:30 am and the temp has crept up since as the air mass modifies. My highs for that period were 44 & 43 but a lowly 35 as a high yesterday as some clouds managed to roll in, and hang around much of the day. MJO has generally been in a state that has impacted northern Europe and Asia but there are progs to head into Phase I some time in the next couple weeks. Will have to see what verifies. It's currently 34 with dp 23 (which ia a little higher than late yesterday when it was headed into the upper teens as the dry air settled in).

Well the line ended up being virga with a slight uptick in humidity but no visible flakes. Temp still 35 with dp 31.

Some kind of incoming line here. My Delco sis said she peeped out earlier and saw some flakes down in Upper Darby. Keeping an eye on any Trace from it here. Currently breezy and 35 with dp 31.

Finished up at 2.54" for the day and 3.93" total for the 2 days. Had an appt. to go to and when I went out to the car, the winds were gusting something fierce. The non-diurnal temp swings continue where it's currently 49 and overcast (dp 45) with a high of 60 earlier this morning. Sharp cutoff obvious on radar. Schuylkill way out of its banks along the drives as of the noon reading.

Now up to 2.42" for today (3.81" total for the 2-day event). Temp has dropped off to 52 with dp 52. Flooding reported on Columbus Blvd from South Philly to north of Ben Franklin Br. at Spring Garden (part of that street is below sea level so does get tidal flooding at times). Wissahickon way the hell out of its bank - already over a foot more than last weekend's storm so far and the Schuylkill is about at flood stage.

So far have 1.39" of rain on Sunday and up to 1.84" (at post time) of rain this morning for a 2-day total of 3.23". Non-diurnal temp rise overnight has resulted in a "low" of 58 at midnight. Currently have light rain and 60 with dp 59. ETA - Wissahickon most likely out of its banks (I think flood stage for that is like 5.5ft).

Astroturf... errr... "FieldTurf" surface there. Slip-sliding away in the rain. Can confirm that 38 was my low this morning and have warmed up to a mostly sunny 50 with dp 36.

Away game in Seattle although they have a similar forecast there for game time - rain and temps in the low-mid 40s (that stadium mostly has a cover over the seating but has the field open to the elements ). Currently sitting at my low (so far) of 39 with dp 31.

Flood Watch coming over the wire - Bottomed out at 32 this morning and hit 54 for a high (so far). Currently 53 and mostly sunny with dp 33.

One of my neighbors has a ground-cover type hardy geranium still blooming (SW-facing exposure). My highs since Monday were 45, 43, 45, & today 41 (so far). The Tues - today lows were 26, 29, & 27 this morning. The dps have been in the low 20s in any case. Currently 37 with dp 24. Was watching the GFS spin up storms for the rest of the month.

I was posting some of the model maps in this thread and at least for those of us in SE PA and into Jersey/Delaware, the 10:1s weren't showing much, if anything east of Chester County except for the early NAM runs that as predicted, NAM'd people. Currently still breezy and 37 with dp 27.

The 10:1 maps aren't the problem. It's the Kuchera (clown) ones! Of course this early in the season, the chances of getting a 10:1 ratio snow isn't very likely with little or no antecedent cold. With the non-diurnal temp outcome from an overnight CFP, my "high" of 45 was at midnight and I bottomed out at 34 this morning. Currently an overcast breezy 41 with dp 28.

And that's a wrap. Sun out, final rain/snowmelt total for today = 0.63" (2.58" for the 2-day event). Currently a breezy 36, clearing with part sun, and dp 35.

Still have a rain/snow mix here blowing out of the NW, although the flakes aren't the pancakes from earlier. Am up to 0.53" for the day so far (2.48" 2-day rain total). Flooding has Lincoln Dr. closed and the Wissahickon Creek is definitely out of its banks! Currently 35 with dp 34 with light rain/snow mix.

Can confirm fatties in the air here and KYW traffic reporter mentioned lower visibility on the turnpike to the west and also up north in the LV. Currently 35 with a light rain/snow mix (now at 0.47" for the day) and dp 35.

With the non-diurnal temp swings yesterday, my "low" for yesterday ended up being just before midnight with the cold front having moved through, and after a high of 61. Ended up with 1.95" of rain yesterday plus an additional 0.43" (so far) today, for a 2-day total of 2.38" of rain. Currently light rain and 37 with dp 37.