Hurricane Agnes
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I did manage to drop to 59 for a low this morning before it headed up to what is probably my high for the day at 75. Currently 74 and mostly sunny with a nice low dp of 51. Really nice day!
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As the temps start to drop, the critters become less active and if the temps go below 60, many actually go into a torpor and hibernate. Didn't get any more precip yesterday so the 0.40" was it. Currently 60 with dp 58. I expect I'll probably drop a little lower this morning as a low although I'm not completely decoupled and am getting a few puffs of wind.
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The 66 ended up being my low this morning and 74 was my high. I also got a few more hundredths of an inch of rain and stand at 0.40" for the day (so far). That little line was holding together pretty good until it started approaching the city and has really broken up now, so not sure what will be left once it reaches here (if it ever does). Currently 71 and mostly cloudy with dp 66.
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Another little band came through for a little bit more than 1/10" additional and now have 0.36" in the bucket for the day so far. Am dry at the moment but may get some scattered stuff as the morning goes on. Currently 67 and overcast with dp 66.
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I think one thing to keep in mind is the time of year. This is literally when both the ground and (large body) water temps are at their warmest. So although there might be less daylight hours to produce heat higher up, the night time ground radiation into the air of that stored heat, could help fuel those night/early morning storms. The band sortof broke up as it got here and the rain that I have received only started sometime after 2 am, and had been on and off through about 6:30 am. Am currently misty and have 0.25" from it (so far) with temp of 66 and dp 66 with the frontal passage.
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SPC woke up and threw up Severe Thunderstorm Watches for the CWA -
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I think it is more due to the potential for creek and river flooding, particularly to the north. For example, the Passaic near Pine Brook and Morristown in Jersey has been under a flood warning since Ida - And if that line moves as slowly as it has been, any training would just exasperate the flashier creeks. Plus you have people who were impacted by tornadoes last week with obliterated and/or damaged homes and I expect that if any cells pop up with some gusty winds, those can take down any trees that made it through Ida. I have heard (at least on KYW and from the NWS AFD) that it wasn't going to be anything like last week but because the ground is so saturated, it might not take much to overwhelm an area. I even heard that here in Philly, PennDOT literally pumped out 30 million gallons of water out of what I dub the "Vine Street Expressway Canal", in a couple days, so thankfully they got that out of the way.
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Definitely looks like a lenticular cloud! https://www.weather.gov/abq/features_acsl
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LOL This is what WPC has for its twitter profile pic - It's definitely gotten juicy here today. Had a low of 64 but it's currently 84 with a dp of 72 and starting to cloud up but with breaks of sun. Mt. Holly has its precip outlook out and will see how this verifies.
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Ended up with 83 as a high yesterday and a low of 62 this morning. Currently mostly sunny and 78 with dp 61, so definitely not bad out...
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My high for today appears to have been 74 and currently have 0.04" in the bucket (from 2 rounds of light rain). It's currently 71 and overcast with occasional light rain and drizzle, and dp 69.
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My low ended up being 61 this morning and the rain that was supposed to evaporate before getting here, is here (although it hasn't tipped the bucket yet). Currently 70 with light rain and dp 66.
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Most of the precipitation was to the north and west of downtown (I am like 20 miles from the airport as the crow flies and was probably around the southern fringe of the heavy rain). The southern parts of the city had less, which for people like those in Eastwick (in SW Philly), which continually gets flooded with this type of event, was spared this time (usually getting swamped by the Darby Creek and Cobbs Creek)! They got walloped last year by Isaias. The neighborhood is adjacent to the airport. Hilly areas south of me - like East Falls and Manyunk, got hit with flooding from the Schuylkill as they are situated alongside the river or at the bottom of the hills coming out of Roxborough and got the brunt of the river and runoff of water down the hills. As a side note, when I was just looking for something else, I did stumble on this compiled from Mt. Holly data regarding TORWs over the past 25 years or so (so throwing in this thread just for FYI) -
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I wish I were "well-versed" in those programs! There is so much in them, so am still trying to get a handle on them. As an obs, the high deck of cirrus did eventually clear out yesterday and I managed to get up to 77 as a high and the weather was about as perfect as you could get - not humid but comfortable and warm. There was some low-hanging stratus earlier this morning but that seems to have lifted, and it's currently clear and 64 (will see if that is my low or it will drop down any more before sunrise), with dp 62.
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As a post-script, all Mt. Holly sites (except GED) broke records for rainfall (associated with Ida) -
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Ended up with a high of 73 yesterday (low of 56). It's currently mostly cloudy with some breaks in the high cloud deck, but including a vivid red sky in the east and 58, with dp 56.
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That was a truly bizarre storm because it was pretty much left for dead and then regenerated itself as it exited into the Atlantic and then did a left turn right back onto land. But being where it was out in the Atlantic it pushed water into the coast and pumped moisture inland, swamping everything - essentially like a nor'easter that inevitably causes the rivers to flood. Once that happened, it was game over for so many communities, especially since PA is full of rivers and creeks. Thankfully there has been quite a lot of work done over the years to bolster the various watersheds to better handle the water.
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Just heard on KYW again - and just checked. Mt. Holly revised the Oxford, Chester County tornado to EF2 - Plus more detail on the EF3 in Mullica Hill -
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I just heard on KYW that the Mullica Hill EF3 hit the largest dairy farm in New Jersey that also happens to be located there. Found this article about it - https://www.nj.com/gloucester-county/2021/09/nj-weather-3-cows-dead-silos-toppled-as-tornado-devastates-njs-largest-dairy-farm.html
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It did hit Florida from the GOM side with its first landfall - and pummeled it with tornadoes, but was definitely much weaker than Ida in terms of winds (bare Cat 1 at initial landfall vs Ida's Cat 4 at landfall). There's a recent article a few months ago looking back at Agnes - https://www.pottsmerc.com/news/local/hurricane-agnes-first-storm-of-1972-packed-a-punch/article_77186288-d531-11eb-bc1c-b300b24bd5f9.html I used to have a co-worker who was born and raised and lived up in the Wilkes-Barre, PA area and after Agnes hit there, he said his parents' home was completely destroyed and he and they ended up moving down here to Philly. His parents eventually retired and became snowbirds, getting into a camper and heading down to Florida every October and returning every April (my co-worker would share the driving of them down there and fly back home ). I just found someone's Super 8 video of the aftermath of Agnes in the Wilkes-Barre area -
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Well my namesake Hurricane Agnes did some major flooding damage and has been referenced a lot in comparison to Ida - It also came up through the GOM but then exited into the Atlantic, regenerated itself, and pivoted around and slammed right into NY. It was a big rainmaker and a bare Cat 1 at initial landfall and never regained hurricane strength. It ended up reportedly with 128 fatalities throughout much of its land track (I think PA having the bulk of them).
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I saw this tweet with a video of the 3 days/nights journey of Ida -
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I live about 5 - 6 miles from there. I was watching where that was going (at the time it looked like it was heading towards Willow Grove on the radar) and was under the TOR for it.
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I haven't been to that exact area of the video but have been near there at Temple's Ambler campus that I understand was impacted. Reports indicated almost every building was damaged from that tornado. https://temple-news.com/temples-ambler-campus-damaged-by-tornado/
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Ha! I had looked at the the runs of the 18z GFS and I think the 12z Euro yesterday and saw Larry show up in this hemisphere on the last couple panels out to around 144 hrs + at the time. I'm watching that guy in case it doesn't become a fish storm after crashing into (or looping around) Bermuda. I actually had a low of 56 this morning and it's currently mostly sunny, with some recent puffy cumulus appearing, and 71 with dp 56.
