Hurricane Agnes

18z NAM still showing 2 systems impacting part of the CWA where the GFS/Euro/CAN are sliding that first one to the south of here...

12z EC like the 12z GFS - rain to the south and frozen pushed to the north.

12z GFS holding as a mix/ZR to rain for the southern part of the CWA, keeping the sleet mostly north. ETA the 12z Canadian showing the same type of setup.

It has some odd antecedent thing going before it starts to align with the other models to show the main event going into the weekend (which mostly occurs outside of the NAM's range at the moment). ETA - the 6z hires EC is actually showing that antecedent feature too but it has it further south than the NAM so it slides below the CWA (and is all rain).

0z EC got its senses back and went with a non-phased slider for the end of month storm that it originally had (that GFS didn't).

6z GFS continues the 0z trends (its own & EC's) mix to rain solution for the Feb 25 storm. The 0z Canadian also has a mix to rain but mirrored the earlier icier solutions from yesterday.

GFS 6z is still running but the 0z's change was to push most of the the ice further north and end as rain along Philly metro after an initial icing... The 0z Euro is generally mostly rain along the same southern part of the CWA through the event. It's all gonna depend on where the freezing line sets up.

Some obs for today - after a low of 18 this morning, I made it up to 37 and it's currently 30 with dp 22.

12z Canadian is showing a full on ice/ZR storm. (although snow up north)

18z GFS ice and ZR snapshots.

For the end of month (Feb. 28 - Mar. 1) storm - the 12z EC has an over-running storm with a cold front/LE-looking finish where the GFS has no such storm at all except as something that slides along the STJ and out to sea.

6z GFS ZR verbatum is ugly for I95 corridor vs 0z EC that throws that threat to the north.

6z GFS still has the colder solution but the sleet/ZR bomb shows up on the 0z EC and Canadian.

I was at my sister's house for my niece's bday party in Wyndmoor when it blew through down here between ~2:30 - 3 pm (I live a couple miles SE of her). My other niece was driving down from N. Jersey and said she got caught in it up there coming down 95 and almost pulled over. There was no accumulation in this area but a definite flizzard nonetheless. The temps appeared to crash to ~32 or so IMBY (after a high of 43), before recovering to about 36 or so and then went on with a regular diurnal cooling as the colder air trickled in and the sun set. The dp started dropping just before the temp crash and did its own crash during the brief temporary temp recovery. Currently 23 and clear (saw the big just-past-full-moon rising on the way home) with dp 4.

Looks pretty intense on radar! It was dark briefly here between noon and 1 pm but at the time the temp was bopping between 39 and 40. Didn't see any precip. during that time. It's currently 41 here.

Snow Squall Warning in Berks/N. Montco -

My final low yesterday was 28 just before midnight after a high of 62. This morning I bottomed out at 23 and am currently mostly sunny and up to 31 with dp 21.

6z GFS and 0z EC for the potential mix storm Feb. 25 - 26 (edited to add the Canadian).

Temp has dropped further to 42, dp 33, a changeable sky with the sun trying to poke out, and gusty winds.

Now down to 48 but what took the faster hit was the dp, which is now down to 37.

KPNE had a 52 mph gust too! I had an initial drop from 62 to 57 and it has sortof leveled out at 57.

KPHL reported a 56 mph gust.

STS issued - (a bit late because the line is past here)

Fast moving line and it is past me now with a max of about 0.66"/hr rates but dropping. Currently have 0.20" in the bucket and the winds are definitely picking up. Temp is dropping as well and now down to 59.

Starting to get the heavy rain now from the line ahead of the front. Temp 62 with dp 60.