
8283 El Nino Baby
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Everything posted by 8283 El Nino Baby
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March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
8283 El Nino Baby replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
All this plateau getting hammered talk is raising my expectations way too much. At first I was happy with any snow in March, then 2-4 inches seemed great, but now that the RGEM, NAM 3K and RAP are showing my location on the plateau as a possible bullseye, I fear I will be disappointed if we end up only getting what is being forecast by the NWS. The perils of model riding... -
Feburary 2nd-4th Winter Storm Thread
8283 El Nino Baby replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It is 28 and snowing lightly here. They look like frozen needles.- 99 replies
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Feburary 2nd-4th Winter Storm Thread
8283 El Nino Baby replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It has not really been all that wet yet. 0.81 since midnight. Unless the front is supposed to stall, I expect rain will end in the next couple of hours. Temp has dropped 8 degrees the last 40 minutes to 49.- 99 replies
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Feburary 2nd-4th Winter Storm Thread
8283 El Nino Baby replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It is 56 and raining pretty good currently. I don't foresee getting any wintry precip from this storm. Which is fine if it was going to be ice.- 99 replies
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The cold air really does squeeze out the moisture. It is 29 on the central plateau a with flurries of dime sized flakes. I know we are not expected to get much accumulations this evening, but hoping for an overperformance.
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More related to February, but someone posted on the WeatherWest site the attached image. It seems to imply a very wet February for Tennessee, but I cannot really tell what the chart is saying beyond that.
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The size of the flakes are now like peas vs quarters earlier, but it's dense and sticking way better. Hard flurry vs plummeting slush balls. Im at around 2+ inches but dead center in the spinning blue mass on radar, so hoping it snows for a lot longer.
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35 and a cold rain near Falls Creek Falls. Not seeing any flakes yet.
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I am trying to not get excited on the plateau. Dry slot killed us on the last storm.
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Jan 6th-7th 2022 Second Chance Storm
8283 El Nino Baby replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Snowing here even though nothing is showing on any radar apps. Perhaps the radar cant see it with the low ceiling and 1850 elevation? We had a bust yesterday with less than an inch, but it looks like we got another inch overnight into this morning. -
Jan 6th-7th 2022 Second Chance Storm
8283 El Nino Baby replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That radar pic implies McMinnville and places a bit east are getting hit, yet I am under that orange/red and its sprinkling graupel. Weird storm thus far. -
Jan 6th-7th 2022 Second Chance Storm
8283 El Nino Baby replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
25 on the central plateau with the tip of the snow showing as just a few miles west. It may not be hitting the ground. Either way, the radar is not matching the sleet fest shown on NAM. Or are temps are supposed to rise quickly? -
Jan 6th-7th 2022 Second Chance Storm
8283 El Nino Baby replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Thanks for the video! For a second I was confused by the video title since I live on a road named "Horseshoe Dr." and the video title is "Explaining 'horseshoe' snow forecasts in East Tennessee". -
Jan 6th-7th 2022 Second Chance Storm
8283 El Nino Baby replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Question related to snow in Tennessee... As a new resident, I am hoping for a quick education on the geographical areas of Tennessee. I am from California and know that San Jose is considered "Northern California" even though it seems placed in the central part of the state. So when someone on the these forums says "Southern Tennessee, where does that begin? Where does West Tennessee end and Middle Tennessee begin? Where is the upper Cumberland Plateau vs central or southern? Second question has more to do with snow and altitude. In California, we had storms where it could be in the low 40s and raining in San Jose (80ft), but snowing at 2000 feet in the foothills a couple miles away. Is that same effect present here in Tennessee? Do we get storms where its rains everywhere except for the Plateau and the Appalachian range getting snow? I know in the summer, my location on the plateau sees temps about 7 degrees lower then McMinnville 30 miles west of me. -
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