Mount Joy Snowman

Bottomed out at 6 here. Looks like the big winner nationally was Masardis, ME at -39. Well, it appears the models are in full windshield wiper mode. We could see anything from eastern Lancaster County getting damn near 6 inches to coastal NJ getting damn near nothing. I'd place my bet on somewhere on the MA peninsula between Boston and Cape Cod being the big winner with this one. On to 12z......

Yep Ukie hasn’t wanted any part of this mess. UK for the win!

Haha how about it. I mean, I'm not going to take one off-hour NAM run to the bank but if even places like coastal NJ and RI/MA get little to nothing out of this then, yikes.

18z NAM removes any and all snow chances for PA. Not that this confirmation was needed but there it is. On to the rain-maker next week

I hear ya man, I hear ya. Very frustrating, but also perhaps these high profile misses are distorting the larger picture for us.

Funny I saw this right after my post about needing hard data. I totally believe it, as often times our perception and reality can be far off. Perhaps the Euro has still been the best with mean SLP placement and things like that but has also struggled more with patterns that would typically yield us our best storms, hence why the perception of it (as @Itstrainingtime noted) is somewhat diminished around these parts. Just food for thought. But it certainly has had more high profile misses lately.

Yeah I'm pretty stunned myself. I recall back in the day the Euro was always considered the top dog and would typically lead the way, particularly with winter coastal storms, no? Just seems to have really fallen off but I would need to see hard data on that to be more certain.

Euro with a noticeable shift east. Fat lady is singing with this one, at least for CTP land.

Canadian 12z also a storm for the sharks, and again, Ukie has never been on board. Look for the Euro to cave soon.

I was going to make this exact point, that at this time I'm actually more concerned about the frontal-induced snow showers on Friday not materializing for us more so than the coastal. Prospects seem to be dimming for anything worthwhile Friday as well. Ugh. Oh well, what are you gonna do? Such is this crazy hobby we choose to indulge in ha.

GFS way out to sea. This isn't our storm folks.

Low of 12 here. Trends overnight were.....not good. On the other hand, there seems to be great consensus amongst the models in sending a Low up the Ohio Valley to our west and providing us with quite the rain maker mid to late next week. Granted, still 200+ hours out on that one. Still pulling for that westward shift of the coastal but running out of time. Overall, not a lot to be excited about in the near to medium term.

MU Weather thoughts......

FWIW the Ukie has wanted no part of this storm having a meaningful impact on the interior. Model wars developing.....

GFS a bit NW to these eyes but still not going to get it done. Baby steps.

Not so much as a stray flurry here yesterday, not that I was expecting anything. Friday looks like some extreme morning cold, followed by scattered snow showers from the frontal passage, and then the coastal likely slides off below us. Hoping for some NW trends to bring meaningful precip back into eastern zones of the forum. Wouldn't bet on it but not ruling it out either. Today and tomorrow's runs crucial.

A thing of beauty. Lock it in.

A depressing weekend for this Packers fan, still just kind of numb to everything ha. But anyway, 'twas nice seeing some flakes fly yesterday and actually still have a coating on most surfaces. We'll see if we can't wrangle in this coastal system for this weekend. Not holding my breath but we're due for some friendly model shifts. Starting to see some of those eastern U.S. cold winners coming to fruition that I had mentioned previously. This time it's Philadelphia, NY coming in at -33. Interesting that the national high temp failed to reach 80 yesterday -- 79 near Mecca, CA -- something we don't see too often.

Some nice mood flakeage here. Coating on the deck. #winning

Clayton Lake, ME was the big winner with a low of -36. Wowsers.

Good stuff. CTP has a report of -23 from Smethport in its PNS.

They are always a good spot for extremes. I dropped to 5 last night. It’s a shame I just lost my snowpack or else could have gone lower.

A low of 11 here and a current DP of 0. Should get even colder tonight but it's a shame we just lost our snowpack around these parts. Man, no matter which model you look at, over the course of their entire runs QPF is hard to come by. Agree with others that something will pop for us at some point. Sure hope so because it would be a real shame to waste all this arctic air.

Finished with a whopping tenth of an inch here. Models were actually pretty good with qpf depiction but couldn't peg the cold air arrival time. Surface temps just never allowed for efficient accumulation. Now we prepare for the cold.

Nope, it's sure not ha. Snow moderate here now but only stickage appears to be to my grill cover. Hoping Tuesday brings something worthwhile because it sure looks dry for the foreseeable future. Not overly optimistic.