Mount Joy Snowman

Looks like that stubborn warm layer ~800mb across the norther tier that I mentioned yesterday came to fruition, as snow totals up around Tioga/Potter seemed to underperform.

Well what do you know!? Looks like we are going to see a touch of winter out of this after all haha. Last little band pushing through and sure enough it’s a nice moderate to heavy sleet shower.

And yet Hempfield schools let out early today

Yep, been my expectation all along. The signs were pretty clearly pointing towards a non-event down this way.

I finally dropped to 32 around 1pm.

No, seems very high, but it's at least in the northeast part of the state and at elevation so I guess it's possible. Although CTP just put out a PNS and the highest ice accretion was .37" in Cambria County and most were in the .1-.2" range. Edit: @Greensnow beat me to it, looks like they did indeed get hammered up that way.

Love it, draped right over our area. I'm still at 36.

You know what, I'm going to give him a pass on that haha. I think I agree that that is indeed an emergency! Edit: I am a known ice cream lover, so my opinion may be biased here ha.

I'm going to need further detail here haha....

I hit 53 at some point overnight but temps dropping quick now, down to 37. Haven't officially measured precip yet but looks like ~1.1" so far. Perhaps a wee bit of frozen later on but it will be fighting diurnal solar insolation, otherwise a non-event down here, as expected.

Temp off to the races here, up to 51 as I prepare to hit the hay.

Hit 45 here today and have about .65” of rain so far. The last remaining piles of snow are on their final breath.

They don't need it. They got approximately a quadrillion inches at the end of 2021.

Well, it seems as though the hi-res models are universally picking up on a sneaky but persistent warm layer around 800mb that keeps the bulk of the precip falling as sleet for even a large portion of the northern tier (talking deep into Tioga and Potter) for the majority of the event. A lot of lost qpf with this one but the ice threat is real for folks in the central to northern ridge and valley region.

Haha fair enough. I'll change my stance and join you in that hope. Here's to the nothing burger!

A low of 38 here and about .2" of liquid already as we begin our long-duration rain slog. Based on the totality of model guidance and knowing my microclimate (i.e. I sit very low and do very poorly in marginal icing events), I am predicting an absolute nothing burger here. Would be thrilled to see a trace of ice but doubt even that, and as always, I hope to be wrong. Just not our winter thus far down here in the land of Amish. Good luck to those who do get in on some action and especially the northern tier, where they should have one hell of a snowpack after all this.

How ‘bout it ha. Heck, how about least snow in the entire Northeast or Mid-Atlantic. Got to be close to that title eh?

Haha well I’m not quite buying that but yeah, not great.

This pretty well aligns with my thinking. Not expecting much of anything frozen down this way.

High of 47 here with ample sunshine throughout the day and minimal wind. Beautiful day to take the baby and the dog for a walk. Haven’t had many lately.

Haha I heard my call and I came a'runnin

Sounds like you went from elevated to UHI to low-lying to more elevated. Pays to be low on those inversion nights, like me, who hit 20 last night tehe.

After studying the overnight runs, my thoughts can be summed up thusly: What a waste of beautiful copious QPF in what has been a nice cold pattern. Sad to see, but trek on we will.

Fact check: True.

I agree that this is much more likely an issue for us than anything wintry. Sadly.