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Mount Joy Snowman

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  1. Mount Joy Snowman
    I dropped to 12 last night. Harrisburg finished January with a mean temp departure of -2.7 (Williamsport was -4.4). Precip was a smidge below normal and snowfall was about a half inch ahead for the month but lags by 3.9 inches for the season. I don't think those of us on the southern tier will be seeing any meaningful snowfall from the upcoming event. GFS has liked the follow-up wave on Sunday but doesn't have much support, if any, and I saw WPC wants no part of it. Onward.
  2. Mount Joy Snowman
    Lancaster for the win!
  3. Mount Joy Snowman
    Without question I'd rather have opportunities to track, even if that means missing out on all of them. I have no bitterness towards others receiving snow, and although I always want maximum amounts IMBY, I love when other areas get rocked as well. Snow, no matter where it falls, makes this man happy. I dropped to 15 last night. Hoping we can squeeze something out of this late week system but a mostly rain event seems likely for those of us lower in the valley. But track we will.....
  4. Mount Joy Snowman
    At 9 degrees here but some big negatives across the northern tier. Highest snow totals I could find were a few reports between 30-31” in Norfolk County, MA. My buddy in Hammonton, NJ got a foot and Islip Airport came in at just over two feet. Impressive stuff.
  5. Mount Joy Snowman
  6. Mount Joy Snowman
    Was at 15 here this morning and had a dusting of snow overnight, bringing event total to .4”. Yippee.
  7. Mount Joy Snowman
    Not really, Lancaster County on a couple of occasions…..sort of….but yeah never our storm.
  8. Mount Joy Snowman
    Just got home from running around all day and all evidence of white stuff is gone and temp reached 37. Currently 34 and would be thrilled to see another inch.
  9. Mount Joy Snowman
    Just saw that myself sheesh. Good thing the wife and I are getting ready to head out and run errands all over the place haha.
  10. Mount Joy Snowman
    Nice little surprise here this morning, pretty scene with light snow falling and already over a third of an inch. Would be thrilled to see anything more than 2”. Let’s do this!
  11. Mount Joy Snowman
    The RDPS is the one model that has consistently wanted to bring 3-6" to Lancaster County, and does so again at 18z. Lock it in!
  12. Mount Joy Snowman
    MU Weather going with a far eastern solution.... He also adds this....
  13. Mount Joy Snowman
    I see that haha. Good lord that's outrageous.
  14. Mount Joy Snowman
    Eastern Massachusetts just got NAM'ed with 40" on the 18z haha.
  15. Mount Joy Snowman
    This looks very reasonable to me.
  16. Mount Joy Snowman
    When the bolded is brought up it's always a sure-fire sign that we're getting desperate
  17. Mount Joy Snowman
    12z GFS still wide right, pretty much a coastal scraper and complete non-event for the whole of Pennsylvania.
  18. Mount Joy Snowman
    Bottomed out at 6 here. Looks like the big winner nationally was Masardis, ME at -39. Well, it appears the models are in full windshield wiper mode. We could see anything from eastern Lancaster County getting damn near 6 inches to coastal NJ getting damn near nothing. I'd place my bet on somewhere on the MA peninsula between Boston and Cape Cod being the big winner with this one. On to 12z......
  19. Mount Joy Snowman
    Yep Ukie hasn’t wanted any part of this mess. UK for the win!
  20. Mount Joy Snowman
    Haha how about it. I mean, I'm not going to take one off-hour NAM run to the bank but if even places like coastal NJ and RI/MA get little to nothing out of this then, yikes.
  21. Mount Joy Snowman
    18z NAM removes any and all snow chances for PA. Not that this confirmation was needed but there it is. On to the rain-maker next week
  22. Mount Joy Snowman
    I hear ya man, I hear ya. Very frustrating, but also perhaps these high profile misses are distorting the larger picture for us.
  23. Mount Joy Snowman
    Funny I saw this right after my post about needing hard data. I totally believe it, as often times our perception and reality can be far off. Perhaps the Euro has still been the best with mean SLP placement and things like that but has also struggled more with patterns that would typically yield us our best storms, hence why the perception of it (as @Itstrainingtime noted) is somewhat diminished around these parts. Just food for thought. But it certainly has had more high profile misses lately.
  24. Mount Joy Snowman
    Yeah I'm pretty stunned myself. I recall back in the day the Euro was always considered the top dog and would typically lead the way, particularly with winter coastal storms, no? Just seems to have really fallen off but I would need to see hard data on that to be more certain.
  25. Mount Joy Snowman
    Euro with a noticeable shift east. Fat lady is singing with this one, at least for CTP land.
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