Mount Joy Snowman

I made if safely to the Giant Center in Hershey. Main roads were all fine but snow really picking up now and conditions deteriorating rapidly. Good luck to all!

Lost about a tenth to rain and sleet but transitioning to snow as we speak. Let the fun begin. Debating my drive to Hershey ugh.

You know, it’s amazing, I hit 58 today under beautiful skies and we ate dinner outside at a food truck with the kid running around the park and a beautiful sunset to the west, and to think we’ll be in the thick of blinding snow in 12 hours. Weather is just awesome.

Yeah I’d be shocked if MDT pops that low but a fresh snowpack certainly won’t hurt. Man I’m not gonna lie, I’m getting pretty jacked up for this event. Looks like we’re in the jackpot for the first time in a long while.

Not much but not nothing either. I expect a brief period of rain and sleet when it first rolls in. Thinking at most a tenth of qpf lost and probably more like only a few hundredths. Either way a good show awaits us.

Yep, as cold as this storm will be, we're still likely to lose a little bit of frozen on the front end down this way.

18z HRRR holds serve and shows a widespread 6+ across the LSV with bullseye of a foot around the Poconos.

My biggest fear is how fast this thing will be swinging through but honestly I think we're locked into a 3-6" type of event for most on here, which is great in my book.

The FV3 (which I believe the NWS puts a good bit of stock in?) loves our area too. Squall game will be strong Saturday afternoon across the NW as well.

Yep 6-8" for all of York and Lancaster. 8am to noon tomorrow could be downright treacherous.

Oh yeah no doubt. This is really turning into quite the potent interaction between the two pieces of energy. Throwing heavy snow back into northern Alabama and all through central Tennessee overnight tonight.

While I don't think the record low of 8 from 1896 is in play for Sunday, I do think we could take down the daily snowfall record for Harrisburg tomorrow, 4.1" in 1959.

Low of 27 here overnight. National high and low of 91 and -36 at Miles City, FL and Grand Lake, CO, respectively, for an impressive national diurnal range of 127 degrees. Welp, things seem to have escalated overnight with respect to tomorrow's events. Who woulda thunk that on March 12 we finally get one to trend our way. Think I'm gonna have to up my amounts to 3-6" for down this way, with a slight potential to boom even beyond that. All I know is this is really throwing a wrench into my plans to drive to Hershey tomorrow morning for the state wrestling championships. Timing couldn't be worse ugh.

I agree. I'm a traditionalist. Call me crazy but I think you should have to field a position to get a crack at the plate, like we all did in little league ha.

Lot of dirty talk in there. Really think you guys up north are gonna make out reeeeeal nice with this one.

Haha wise choice. Spoken like a true veteran.

Yeah I completely agree with your take from yesterday about temps being the primary issue for us. I had multiple periods where the snow was moderate to downright heavy and it just couldn't get any traction on the surfaces, even mulch and decks and whatnot. I never dropped below 35 throughout the event. Over a half inch of QPF producing .1" of accumulated frozen pretty much tells the story haha.

Saturday morning no less. The weather gods are with you on this one Voyager. I'm sitting at a beautiful 43 degrees. Official totals from yesterday are .58" liquid and .1" snow/sleet.

For those who want to really weenie-out, the long range RAP came through nice as well. I know I know ha. Hey, we haven't had many.

Very solid. Canadian just came in very solid as well, better than prior runs. Heck, even the Ukie moved SE, although it's been all over the map ha. Let the optimism flow.

GFS is close to my thoughts on totals, with the hope that it ticks a few notches SE....

We are all weeneis on this Thursday morning. Let's bring her home!

Showing off my low-lying cold here as I dropped to 24 last night, same as THV. Incredibly thick fog this morning (ice fog no less), couldn't even remotely see the Amishman's barn less than 1/8 mile away. Remarkably, it fully burned off by like 9am. Waiting for the precip from yesterday to fully melt but looks like I should come in somewhere around .6". My way-too-early thoughts for LSV Saturday......I think we wake up to a period of heavy rain, followed by a quick transition to a cold wind-driven snow and temperatures plummeting through the 20s throughout the day. Flash freeze in full effect. I'm thinking something like 1-3" for the LSV, 3-6" for the middle parts of the valley, and 6-12" for western and northern tier areas. As others have mentioned, always tricky having the cold chase the precip in these scenarios but this one looks to have real potential, and the needle seems to want to thread just right with the two pieces of energy. I think it was @losetoa6 who mentioned the HRRR doing well lately and I couldn't agree more. I used to ignore that model beyond like 12-18 hours out but it's done a really nice job of picking up on the finer details even at range lately. The 12z HRRR sure looks like it's about to be a flush hit and the 12z NAM just came in very strong as well. This could be the real deal for the forum. In any event, I think we're looking at one heck of a dynamic day of weather with some damaging winds, brutal cold, multiple precip types, and hopefully meaningful accumulating snow for mostly everyone. All aboard!

You know you've been chasing the Black Knights for years

Yes yes my mistake Penn Manor. Solanco is even more vast and unknown to most Lancastrians haha. Good stuff, loving your tales of southern living.