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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Looks like PIT recorded 0.8” already to put our season total to 40.4”.
  2. TimB
    Yes, and one of those 1-2” events on April 21 last year.
  3. TimB
    HRRR likes your chances too:
  4. TimB
    Assuming guidance is coming in colder, since NWS point and click is now suggesting mostly to all snow showers Saturday during the day. Edit: that changed overnight, it’s now mostly rain during the day Saturday.
  5. TimB
    Hopefully a nonzero amount. I’d be fine with 0.4” to get us to 40.
  6. TimB
    Stuff died as it entered PA. We just never got the temps or dewpoints for any real instability.
  7. TimB
    Watch was just issued. Was not expecting that today, we were barely even in the marginal risk area.
  8. TimB
    Also interested in seeing if we can get one or two more minor snow events over the weekend or early next week. GEFS ensemble mean is 3” through this time next week. Just don’t see any obvious signals for a snow event, though the cold will be there.
  9. TimB
    The first one that comes to mind is 3/1/17. We were actually under an enhanced risk for severe that day. Beyond that, I can think of several instances in the past few years where we’ve not only seen them in late March, but in January and February. Every month is thunderstorm season around here.
  10. TimB
    If you accidentally stumbled upon it like I did, you might give a few shits. There are some absolute gems on there.
  11. TimB
    How are things on Reddit treating you?
  12. TimB
    Regardless, the map is not accurate because there isn’t a small dot of yellow inside the orange area where @KPITSnow’s house would be.
  13. TimB
    Biggest event, yes. PIT ended up at 9.7”. NWS posted this map. Looks like most of the county got 7-8 or so.
  14. TimB
    Yesterday’s storm brings us to 39.6” officially for the season, which is exactly where we should be through 3/12. Looks like I got my single digit low at PIT, latest since 1993.
  15. TimB
    I thought the MLK “bust” discussion would end if we got another good storm but sadly that doesn’t appear to be the case.
  16. TimB
    Plus I think it’s been discussed here before that they try to keep their message to the general public consistent. Conspiracy theorists like me think there’s some sort of bureaucratic quality control where forecasters get dinged if they have to constantly downgrade and upgrade warnings/advisories, but that may be a stretch.
  17. TimB
    Because 4.3” of that fell between midnight and 2am and I presume they felt it was too late to upgrade to a warning at that point.
  18. TimB
    Perfect, really. The snow came in early enough and hung on long enough that even those of us who slept got to enjoy seeing it fall on both ends of the storm.
  19. TimB
    Awesome finish to winter. Overperformed massively and left no doubt as to its status as a warning level snow. Best March storm in recent memory and I’d probably even rank it ahead of 2018 even if the total won’t be as high.
  20. TimB
    Already a coating here. Temp at PIT reached 32 at 10:10. Ahead of schedule.
  21. TimB
    HRRR still trending upward:
  22. TimB
    The only thing I can think of that would make the airport significantly higher than the city’s totals in this case is UHI. There is a lot of sun today and a transition from very warm to cold, with the bulk of the snow falling early in that transition period.
  23. TimB
    18z long range HRRR that shows the whole storm I would guess should look better than 12z. The last few hourly runs have trended up through hour 18. Edit: it’s keeping hope alive for a high end advisory event.
  24. TimB
    Sure enough, just like the 12z model suite, NWS has made a slight adjustment for the better:
  25. TimB
    Both NAMs were very underwhelming. No real winners except far eastern PA.
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