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TimB

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  1. TimB
    Record is 239 in 1892-1893. That would be the long shot to end all long shots. The record you’re legitimately angling for isn’t the consecutive days record, but the first 80 record, which was 5/23/1893. 220 will get you there.
  2. TimB
    Was just looking at that this morning, remembering how crazy I thought your 210-220 prediction sounded. Today is day 206 at MDT. Sure, there’s a chance of a day overperforming but the current forecast does not show MDT quite getting to 80 this week or weekend. There are 10 other years that have made it this far into May without a single 80. Another week and it’ll be down to 5.
  3. TimB
    Western Atlantic troughing pushes your ridge too far west to make it hot here. Still, slightly above normal temps with sun would be a good break from this pattern. Plenty of time still for big heat if you want it.
  4. TimB
    That’s the real problem is this pattern is funneling warm air up from the gulf, but if the ridge axis sets up where you want it to, I think we can squeeze out a mostly rain-free period. I think 90 is a reach but it’s within the range of plausible solutions from what I’ve seen on the models and ensembles. Especially the Canadian, but that might be overblown. The other weird thing is, as much of a warm month as May was in the 2010s, we have not set a daily record high on any day in May since 1993.
  5. TimB
    Next week looking hotter and hotter. Might @Ahoffget his first 90 early this year?
  6. TimB
    I saw that lol. Went to see if there was any new content on there to laugh at and all I saw was someone talking about him getting suspended. What got him suspended?
  7. TimB
    Nice to start the day with a good thunderstorm or two.
  8. TimB
    https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=Kmdt It does have that Celsius to Fahrenheit rounding thing on the 5-min obs, so you do have to be careful.
  9. TimB
    MDT’s highest 5-min reading was 64, so the high will almost certainly be 64 or 65.
  10. TimB
    Looks like it was 5/11/66. Today will take 3rd place there behind just that and 4/30/61.
  11. TimB
    Not far. DCA was 42.
  12. TimB
    That has to be close to a latest freeze for BWI.
  13. TimB
    I want to say the absolute minimum for PIT this past winter occurred between hourly obs that were a solid 6-7 degrees warmer.
  14. TimB
    It does look a little odd, doesn’t look like it coincides with clearing skies or calming winds (obs were clear with a puff of wind both before, during and after).
  15. TimB
    Here’s the 5 min obs from 5:56-6:56 https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=Kmdt
  16. TimB
    Record low for tomorrow is 29, which looks like there’s a chance. Last year on the same date we set a record warm low of 66.
  17. TimB
    Next week seems to be trending ever so slightly more seasonal. I expect this afternoon’s 8-14 to be either normal or above for PA.
  18. TimB
    4th 80 of the month today. Last time we had 4 in April was 2009.
  19. TimB
    Thing is, when you’re getting close to record territory it’s not particularly difficult to get a rogue 80 even in a coolish pattern. That’s probably a single digit departure from normal in a week or so. But if your GFS map up there comes to fruition, doesn’t look like the 80s come next week.
  20. TimB
    Wow, I thought sure it would get there today. We got past 80 both days this weekend and tomorrow should be the 4th of the year to date.
  21. TimB
    Meanwhile, today is looking like our 16th day so far this April that has failed to reach 60 degrees.
  22. TimB
    Those 10th/90th percentile high temp graphics the NWS puts out on social media seem to indicate a lot of uncertainty, but with a hedge toward the warm side. For Pittsburgh, Saturday is 72-85 with a forecast of 81, Sunday is 75-87 with a forecast of 83.
  23. TimB
    0.7” at PIT makes it official: this won’t be merely an average snow season, it’ll be a slightly above average snow season.
  24. TimB
    Can’t speak for MDT, but all 31 days of May 2018 at PIT were above the normals in place at the time and the month finished at +8.9.
  25. TimB
    Truly glorious to see the snow stick to everything in the middle of the day this far into April.
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