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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Not a waste, we only needed a couple tenths to push this November into above normal snow territory and I’d guess based on obs that PIT got that.
  2. TimB
    All you have to do is remember that North Hills snow hole during the MLK day storm.
  3. TimB
    The warmest temperature ever recorded at PIT on or after November 5th, not including temperatures recorded prior to Pittsburgh International, is 76 (11/10/2020, 11/05/2015, 11/18/1958). That seems to be attainable tomorrow.
  4. TimB
    It is indeed 9 from November 2-10, 1975.
  5. TimB
    The consecutive days stuff is a royal pain in the ass to find exactly what you want with those type of stats. I love xmACIS, but not for that.
  6. TimB
    Sunday appears at this juncture to be the day with the best shot at a low that doesn’t drop below 60 (though it’s very attainable on Monday too) - if that happens, it will be the latest in the season a low in the 60s has ever occurred since the start of observations at KPIT.
  7. TimB
    October comes in at -2.7, with the lows contributing more to the negative departure than the highs (-3.8 lows, -1.6 highs). November looks to be very much the opposite, with the models keeping unseasonable warmth around longer and longer and no sign of a pattern change in sight, only the occasional “cooldown” to normal or slightly above in between periods of warmth.
  8. TimB
    We really have overperformed on lows a lot lately. Must have radiated out nicely just before sunrise, when I looked earlier this morning the last 5-min obs was 36 at 7:05. In any event, we got our October freeze. Edit: looks like we actually dropped from 38 on the 6:51 hourly obs all the way to 32 at 7:20.
  9. TimB
    Thanks for the clarification. So that would make this the 9th time in 71 years at PIT that the first freeze hasn’t occurred by the end of October and first time it’s ever happened in back to back years at PIT.
  10. TimB
    Latest first freezes at PIT since the airport became the official site. Seems likely we crack the top 5 at this point, as a freeze is unlikely in the next 10 days.
  11. TimB
    Yeah, it’d be nearly impossible to get to normal or above at this point. Second half of the week looks sufficiently close to normal to secure a BN month. On a related note, looks like today’s high was 73 so that record cold max for October is no longer in play.
  12. TimB
    Pretty impressive radiational cooling outside of the UHI last night. Was remarking to my wife how quick it got cold as soon as the sun went down and it looks like a lot of the area achieved mid 30s (36 at PIT). For contrast, AGC only got to the mid 40s.
  13. TimB
    If the remainder of the month overperforms, might not be a BN month. Current forecast would put us at about -1 for the month.
  14. TimB
    The wind was probably the ingredient that screwed us out of a freeze, was 5-8mph out of the SSW pretty much all night.
  15. TimB
    Looks like PIT is going to bottom out at 33. With the incoming warmer stretch, it’s now very possible that we go a second straight October without a freeze. The last time that happened in consecutive years was 1949-1951.
  16. TimB
    True. If it were January, the NWS would continue to roll with an all snow forecast while rain and sleet were falling outside our windows.
  17. TimB
    NWS has adjusted overnight p-type to rain for many of us. We’re in midseason form.
  18. TimB
  19. TimB
    In some Deep South locations, it’s close to the earliest instances on record of certain temperature thresholds. The exact wording of the warnings for portions of Mississippi and Alabama mention temperatures as low as 24.
  20. TimB
    Verbatim, that does show measurable snow at PIT. I don’t see it happening, but even a tenth this early would be an extremely rare first measurable snowfall (10/18/1972 and 10/18-19/1992).
  21. TimB
    Interesting, gives me deja vu. I think we almost set such a record in April 2020, only to have the second to last day of the month get too warm. But obviously the thing we have going for us in October that we don’t in April is that you’re not “supposed” to see the warmest temperatures late in the month.
  22. TimB
    Yeah, any model output showing measurable snow next week should probably be tossed.
  23. TimB
    And that’s actually the 3rd best of the 0z models for snow in our area, lol.
  24. TimB
    Think that gusty downpour this morning was the fropa. Looks like it was between 8:20 and 8:30 at PIT, so a little after that for most of us.
  25. TimB
    Probably not until a model run shows something like this?
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