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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Translation: this is going to be hell for quite some time?
  2. TimB
    That NAM run is probably one of the most comical things I’ve ever seen. I know it’s the NAM at range, but LOL
  3. TimB
    These days we’re Detroit for sports and Raleigh for weather. What more is there to say?
  4. TimB
    Disappointment is just part of living in Pittsburgh, whether it’s the weather or pretty much anything else. All we can do is carry on.
  5. TimB
    It’s all good. Let’s drown our sorrows in this one, only 13 days away.
  6. TimB
    Really it’s just a matter of having to hope that the GFS and its ensemble are just incredibly stupid. An advisory type event would be fine. Anything less would be misery.
  7. TimB
    It’s almost worse when there are no winners, especially when winter in the east has been completely nonexistent for 22 months.
  8. TimB
    …and you know what percent of GFS members give us >1”? 26%
  9. TimB
    Yeah that was me of course. But then I remembered that even if we lose we’re not technically eliminated until Sunday since there’s still an extremely unlikely path to losing and clinching a spot.
  10. TimB
    A 1-3” type event is of zero interest to me. We get several of those during even the worst of winters, like last year.
  11. TimB
    Canadian is acceptable.
  12. TimB
    So far south and east it’s comical.
  13. TimB
    Our streak of having no meaningful snow since March 2022 continues.
  14. TimB
    The GEFS ensemble mean is ugly as hell and no one really wins. Even the best areas (not us) are getting an advisory level 3-5” type event.
  15. TimB
    That thing is absolutely booking it, which really cuts totals back. Still, I’d take a high end advisory like that.
  16. TimB
    Look dude, at this time, the main takeaway message is to simply keep an eye on the forecast for the weekend and early next week.
  17. TimB
    Oddly, the cutter still isn’t looking terrible on the ensemble.
  18. TimB
    It would sure be a kick in the teeth if the Steelers got their asses kicked as we watched the snow pile up on TV in Baltimore while seeing very little out the windows. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen. Ideally we see a good snowfall and we get to see a good snow game on tv that ends in a win. But this is Pittsburgh and these kinds of things are rare.
  19. TimB
    Oh right, lord help us if this thing busts as we’re watching the Steelers get eliminated from playoff contention by a bunch of backups.
  20. TimB
    GEFS took a step back with QPF and the ensemble mean is an advisory level event even in the jackpot areas.
  21. TimB
    12z GFS looks good, at least as depicted, but I’d suspect in reality it would include some mixing issues with that track. Canadian has moved back to a workable solution.
  22. TimB
    0z GEFS ensemble mean had 14” of snow in our area over the entire run. Of course, the operational GFS is also going crazy with snow amounts on our area too.
  23. TimB
    GFS looked fantastic at 0z. Canadian was an epic disaster. Hopefully some middle ground solution wins out.
  24. TimB
    We don’t need to jackpot if we can just get a solution like that, not suppressed to hell. Solid low end warning event.
  25. TimB
    I like that Euro run. I can live with that or even an advisory level event even if I don’t jackpot. That’s just how it works. It’s just frustrating that objectively bad solutions like 1-3” or even nothing are still on the table.
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