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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Once again the GFS is winning in this pattern, the weekend heat already looks much more muted than what the Euro/CMC wanted.
  2. TimB
    Ah yes, it does paint a solid stripe of 1” down the I-81 corridor.
  3. TimB
    I assume you mean west. This map was reassuring for me, but sorry folks.
  4. TimB
    Careful, people seem to have trouble understanding that the reason we’re not fans of Tomlin is the three playoff wins in ten years and not some other reason.
  5. TimB
    Wait, Mason Rudolph isn’t a legit QB? /s
  6. TimB
    Not if the GFS has its way. Looks like it’s about to push another trough out of the Midwest through.
  7. TimB
    Back end of the GFS looks like it’s trying to build a massive western ridge, I assume that eventually translates east.
  8. TimB
    Verbatim, MDT tops out somewhere around 50 that day. Per our conversation yesterday, that high of 53 on 6/2/1907 is the lowest max on record on or after 5/28.
  9. TimB
    And yet there we are sitting at 45 next Friday afternoon...
  10. TimB
    The heat could help them win games against cold weather teams and bump their record up a notch or two from the 8-8-1 we’re expecting. (One of the few things both sides of this state can agree upon - picking on the Cowboys.)
  11. TimB
    That’s the thing here. We get nearly twice as much severe wind and tornadoes in both June and July as we do in May. Severe hail is the only thing where May is the 2nd highest month, and who really wants that?
  12. TimB
    And our cold. (Too soon?)
  13. TimB
    I think I would have too, but the worst thing we city folk have to worry about is brown grass and having to water plants a little more often.
  14. TimB
    Laura saved us. Otherwise could have been close to that.
  15. TimB
    GFS and Euro both suggest we could finish May at or above normal precip.
  16. TimB
    Of course it’s still out there, but the spine of the pandemic has been broken, especially in the US, thanks to a large number of people getting vaccinated. The vast majority of people getting covid in the US at this point are people getting covid by choice because they opted not to get vaccinated.
  17. TimB
    I should have specified *in the US*.
  18. TimB
    Yes.
  19. TimB
    Didn’t he start the mask debate yesterday by boasting about intimidating teenagers and women into not making him wear a mask? Don’t take the bait.
  20. TimB
    Assuming today ends up at about a -1 anomaly for temperature, it looks like we’ll need to average +7.9 the rest of the way to get the monthly average back to normal. Normals for May 18-31 average 74/53, so if we average 82/61 the rest of the way we’ll get there. Wouldn’t say it’s a guarantee but I think it’s far from impossible.
  21. TimB
    The hail loophole might be your only hope. Of course to get hail you need precip.
  22. TimB
    Actually looking at the June low maxes for Pittsburgh, I’m most impressed by the high of 54 on 6/21/1992 (but don’t remember it).
  23. TimB
    Apparently Pittsburgh topped out at 47 on 6/1/1910 so it wouldn’t be unprecedented. MDT’s record low max in June is 53 (6/2/1907).
  24. TimB
    I fully expect a GFS run at some point that suggests highs in the 40s in PA in June at hour 372 or something.
  25. TimB
    Awhile back we were inside the 540 line on the GFS in Western PA this upcoming weekend.
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