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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    That’s a little different from having Halloween decorations in my house on September 2nd. (She does wait a little longer on the outside ones.)
  2. TimB
    Might help keep my wife from putting up Halloween decorations ridiculously early.
  3. TimB
    Yeah, that GFS run looked better.
  4. TimB
    Yeah, but take that with a grain of salt. That model is known for doing that.
  5. TimB
    Not saying I’m buying what the 3k NAM is selling, but that is a monster.
  6. TimB
    That might be a bridge too far. Haskins is 100% my guy in 2021 if Ben gets hurt. Mason Rudolph is a high floor, low ceiling quarterback. Neither is the permanent solution IMO.
  7. TimB
    Just like winter, when the models start to go sour you have to pretend you’re not seeing it. Until it shows up on several runs, and several models. Could this be the start of that?
  8. TimB
    Hidden messages in any of my posts? Never!
  9. TimB
    (But also, it could be argued that climate change would make weather more uncertain, at least in the short run.)
  10. TimB
    No, that was actually a comment on science and technology advancing. But I fully enjoy that interpretation.
  11. TimB
    And that’s the fun in it. As I’ve said before, this hobby will suck someday when we as a human race make it less uncertain.
  12. TimB
    I’m not a hurricane expert, but wouldn’t Henri’s current location and projected path make rapid intensification a bit more difficult? That said, all kinds of hurricanes have rapidly intensified in recent years, so you can never rule anything out.
  13. TimB
    I’m thinking yesterday was close. We also got a sneaky 82 on Tuesday, and I think we made 80 on a day behind a cold front a few weeks back that was only supposed to get to 74-75.
  14. TimB
    Absolutely correct. I don’t think heat is the biggest part of that equation, or even top 10. Pretty sure Africa and the Middle East aren’t the way they are exclusively or even mostly due to heat.
  15. TimB
    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/feeling-hot-can-fuel-rage/
  16. TimB
    I would actually rank the likelihood of those three items in the order you just mentioned.
  17. TimB
    For every @Ahoffday that is forecast to hit 90-92 and tops out at 89, there’s a day like yesterday that is forecast to hit 77-79 and gets to 80 or 81.
  18. TimB
    Indeed. 76/70 is in the same category as 86/67 as far as I’m concerned.
  19. TimB
    Currently at 1. Fred kept us short on Wednesday.
  20. TimB
    That’s usually what happens. Our longest streak of 80+ this summer currently stands at 12 days, that’s within reach.
  21. TimB
    I can’t complain about 80s either, not expecting days on end of 70s just yet. And I guess I’m fairly desensitized to 16 straight days of temperatures at or above normal these days, though I’ll never enjoy it.
  22. TimB
    @Bubbler86, I selfishly only looked at temps imby on the 0z and 6z GFS runs, but the 0z has all 16 days getting to at least 80 here and the 6z has the first 15 days getting to 80+.
  23. TimB
    Haven’t looked at the CMC in ages, it’s had a terrible cold bias.
  24. TimB
    Sounds like it has to be at least a 2nd rounder.
  25. TimB
    If I were offered a bet where if MDT doesn’t hit 99 the rest of the way, I get $5,000, and if it does, my punishment is death, I would take it.
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