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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    I don’t think it’s bad at all, it’s just the recent theme of being conditioned to accept a fall where the “cool downs” are basically normal temps.
  2. TimB
    I get 22 days a year.
  3. TimB
    I’m in Cancun the last week of October. It’s a tremendous risk when it comes to missing the first flakes.
  4. TimB
    Hasn’t been a single flake east of the continental divide on any model run for days.
  5. TimB
    SPC slight risk (5/15/0 probabilities) area coincides very closely with PBZ’s domain, for what it’s worth.
  6. TimB
    I think the first half of next week will be at least a hair above the normals of 71/51. Nothing extreme.
  7. TimB
    Should be interesting. Nonzero tornado risk, though the parameters don’t seem that impressive.
  8. TimB
    Yes, the interface is much less tedious on TT. It’s a trade off.
  9. TimB
    I rarely use TT, as you’ve probably seen from the images I post on here. LOL
  10. TimB
    Overnight model runs aren’t showing anything I find unacceptable, seasonable late Sept/early Oct weather.
  11. TimB
    Was hoping for more than a day or two of slightly below normal before we revert back to normal or slightly above, but beggars can’t be choosers.
  12. TimB
    18z GFS is a bit better than 12z. Still a couple toasty days but not the gates of hell by October standards.
  13. TimB
    That ridge is impressive but not centered over PA...yet.
  14. TimB
    Still gives a solid Wednesday. Early week is hot.
  15. TimB
    Yeah, we’re toast.
  16. TimB
    We’ll see what the EC says. Yesterday it had a deep trough in that timeframe.
  17. TimB
    Was hoping to turn off my a/c for good this week. The fact that I haven’t on 9/21 is already ridiculous and stupid, but now there’s a chance I can’t until October.
  18. TimB
    Next week has trended above. Nothing like starting October with a few +10s to +15s to cripple the chances of a below normal month. Despite the normals going up by a lot, PIT could still be 6/10 on above normal months this year and MDT will be even more than that.
  19. TimB
    Could legitimately get 1, maybe 2 days below normal out of this pattern.
  20. TimB
    Not arguing here either. It’s just an interesting stat.
  21. TimB
    Pirates had some ridiculous streak against the Brewers awhile back. Like 20+ consecutive losses in Milwaukee.
  22. TimB
    You figure, even a 48-102 team like the Orioles is averaging one win per series.
  23. TimB
    I’ll take 70/50 over the garbage we’ve had the past couple weeks, but there’s never a corresponding -10 as a reward for getting through all this +10 crap.
  24. TimB
    Most forecasts in the MDT area are running 72/52 for a few days, which is about a -3 this late in September. Mine are about 68/48, which is also about a -3.
  25. TimB
    Days on end of +10, then a couple days of -3 or -4, then right back to normal. It’s the way it goes anymore. I don’t see how this month doesn’t end up at least +2.
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