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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Also hope this fog holds on as long as possible and cuts into our high temp today.
  2. TimB
    It’s definitely been better than what I was dreading. The humidity has been brutal, but even that broke last night, if only for 12 hours or so. Don’t think I’ll complain too much about a stretch in September where we only get into the low 80s (maybe mid-80s a day or two if we overperform). PBZ’s one forecaster that actually writes good discussions had this to say:
  3. TimB
    All of the models seem to be on board with that mid-week frontal passage. Overnight runs were exactly what I wanted to see.
  4. TimB
    Hey, isn’t September 29th pretty much the same sun angle as....the sun angle of the Blizzard of 93?
  5. TimB
    MDT is at 41 with rain on that panel. But the big news is, digital snow for PA has officially begun.
  6. TimB
    Some areas of Potter/Tioga get 6+” Kuch.
  7. TimB
    EC keeps the ugly dewpoints over all of PA through the end of its run.
  8. TimB
    12z GFS does what it should in September. Warm -> cold front in 8 days or so -> seasonable with mostly sub-60 dewpoints -> chilly with a 540 line through almost all of PA (actually dips to the VA/NC border at the end).
  9. TimB
    65? Foreclosure doesn’t sound like comfort to me, and that’s what I’d be facing if I set mine at 65.
  10. TimB
    Not 2. 0.2
  11. TimB
    Even the remaining “heat” over the next week could probably be more accurately described as “warmth”, save for maybe a day here or there.
  12. TimB
    The end is in sight. CMC does something different and rebuilds the ridge in that timeframe after a less decisive frontal passage and retrograding trough.
  13. TimB
    The last couple days of that run do look spectacular. Lock it in.
  14. TimB
    18z GFS gets a bit toasty late in the run again. In better news, October will be within view on the GFS by morning.
  15. TimB
    Just looked at the earlier parts of the GFS run, which suggest 90 is still in play for me early next week, when my normal high is 73.
  16. TimB
    Looks like we’re right in the battleground between the trough and the ridge at the end. That would be fairly seasonable.
  17. TimB
    GFS looks like it’s beating back that late-month trough with yet another ridge. Short-lived relief. Cold front is west of the Mississippi on the CMC at 240. Ugh.
  18. TimB
    Ah yes, now we’re into that phase where there are 9 days of heat. And when we wake up tomorrow, there will still be 9 days of heat. And when we wake up Thursday, there will still be 9 days of heat.
  19. TimB
    Oddly, the position of Nicholas on that map isn’t terrible.
  20. TimB
    It’s hard when the quoted map here was the GFS’s map for today, just 9 days out. I think there was also one where my afternoon temp was 47 sometime this upcoming weekend, but we’ll give that one a pass because it was a lot longer range.
  21. TimB
    The cool down hasn’t reached PA by the end of the EC or CMC runs, which I’d like to see before I say September can be salvaged.
  22. TimB
    That stuff held us to 79 yesterday out here, which was much appreciated.
  23. TimB
    18z GFS says we take our fall back well before the month is up.
  24. TimB
    Could do without this humidity, but nice to see both PIT and AGC rolling into the 4:00 hour without an 80 yet.
  25. TimB
    Even the PIT departure of -3.4 through this past Saturday should be easily made up and then some this week. Above normal month seems like a sure bet at MDT and more likely than not at PIT.
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