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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    The max of 85 here (PIT) for September, which should hold, is the lowest since 2009. But likewise, a lot of Septembers in the 2000s that didn’t get to 85 here.
  2. TimB
    Lots of time for that fantasy range stuff to change. Seasonable and fairly dry otherwise. EC is on board too. Monday could make a run at 80 but I don’t mind that if it’s short-lived.
  3. TimB
    Most importantly, it keeps us fall-like.
  4. TimB
    EC at 168 is nearly identical.
  5. TimB
    EC is coming in east with the ridge.
  6. TimB
    CMC provides a similar temp pattern, but also a relatively unrealistic low track. Not sure what to count on in the 7-10 day period.
  7. TimB
    You win.
  8. TimB
    Usually we root for the GFS over the EC. Now it’s time to root against it.
  9. TimB
    GFS is ugly but WAY out of sync with both the EC and CMC. But yes. The 6z has that coastal deep in its run.
  10. TimB
    Look at that ridge. Hopefully it stays out there as we get closer.
  11. TimB
    You’d be correct:
  12. TimB
    Seasonable is fine with me.
  13. TimB
    It’s getting to the point where the Phillies almost certainly have to sweep the Braves next week to get into the playoffs.
  14. TimB
    I don’t think it’s bad at all, it’s just the recent theme of being conditioned to accept a fall where the “cool downs” are basically normal temps.
  15. TimB
    I get 22 days a year.
  16. TimB
    I’m in Cancun the last week of October. It’s a tremendous risk when it comes to missing the first flakes.
  17. TimB
    Hasn’t been a single flake east of the continental divide on any model run for days.
  18. TimB
    SPC slight risk (5/15/0 probabilities) area coincides very closely with PBZ’s domain, for what it’s worth.
  19. TimB
    I think the first half of next week will be at least a hair above the normals of 71/51. Nothing extreme.
  20. TimB
    Should be interesting. Nonzero tornado risk, though the parameters don’t seem that impressive.
  21. TimB
    Yes, the interface is much less tedious on TT. It’s a trade off.
  22. TimB
    I rarely use TT, as you’ve probably seen from the images I post on here. LOL
  23. TimB
    Overnight model runs aren’t showing anything I find unacceptable, seasonable late Sept/early Oct weather.
  24. TimB
    Was hoping for more than a day or two of slightly below normal before we revert back to normal or slightly above, but beggars can’t be choosers.
  25. TimB
    18z GFS is a bit better than 12z. Still a couple toasty days but not the gates of hell by October standards.
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