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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. Lots of time for that fantasy range stuff to change. Seasonable and fairly dry otherwise. EC is on board too. Monday could make a run at 80 but I don’t mind that if it’s short-lived.
  2. CMC provides a similar temp pattern, but also a relatively unrealistic low track. Not sure what to count on in the 7-10 day period.
  3. Usually we root for the GFS over the EC. Now it’s time to root against it.
  4. GFS is ugly but WAY out of sync with both the EC and CMC. But yes. The 6z has that coastal deep in its run.
  5. Look at that ridge. Hopefully it stays out there as we get closer.
  6. It’s getting to the point where the Phillies almost certainly have to sweep the Braves next week to get into the playoffs.
  7. I don’t think it’s bad at all, it’s just the recent theme of being conditioned to accept a fall where the “cool downs” are basically normal temps.
  8. I’m in Cancun the last week of October. It’s a tremendous risk when it comes to missing the first flakes.
  9. Hasn’t been a single flake east of the continental divide on any model run for days.
  10. SPC slight risk (5/15/0 probabilities) area coincides very closely with PBZ’s domain, for what it’s worth.
  11. I think the first half of next week will be at least a hair above the normals of 71/51. Nothing extreme.
  12. Should be interesting. Nonzero tornado risk, though the parameters don’t seem that impressive.
  13. Yes, the interface is much less tedious on TT. It’s a trade off.
  14. I rarely use TT, as you’ve probably seen from the images I post on here. LOL
  15. Overnight model runs aren’t showing anything I find unacceptable, seasonable late Sept/early Oct weather.
  16. Was hoping for more than a day or two of slightly below normal before we revert back to normal or slightly above, but beggars can’t be choosers.
  17. 18z GFS is a bit better than 12z. Still a couple toasty days but not the gates of hell by October standards.
  18. That ridge is impressive but not centered over PA...yet.
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