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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    A departure pushing +7 already could balloon to +10 by mid-month. This talk/model trend about zonal/slight ridging probably means an average to slightly above second half (suppose that’s maybe +2). 10+2 = 12 / 2 = +6. That puts things in the ballpark of record territory for you guys.
  2. TimB
    Not holding my breath on that until it’s here. Models have screwed us way too many times this fall.
  3. TimB
    That’s fairly consistent with what a lot of runs of the GFS have been showing, unfortunately.
  4. TimB
    Still appears it brings highs in the 60s by the end of its run.
  5. TimB
    Sometimes a good GFS run is on par with a solid nooner.
  6. TimB
    It does build another big ridge across the middle of the country late.
  7. TimB
    Pandemic...wfh...a lot more of that going on lately I’m sure.
  8. TimB
    12z looks like pretty good news...
  9. TimB
    I’m an old soul. See also my contributions to the pop songs thread in OT.
  10. TimB
    Sky rockets in flight, afternoon delight?
  11. TimB
    Also, my A/C just kicked on. At 11:42. I think it even ran briefly at night last night.
  12. TimB
    Indeed, let’s get a snow in BEFORE my trip to Cancun.
  13. TimB
    Was reading NWS Phoenix’s forecast discussion last evening and it implied that if the low temp drops below 55 next week (which is likely) they’ll be nearly 3 weeks ahead of schedule for their first sub-55 low per 1991-2020 climo. That’s an anomalous trough any way you slice it.
  14. TimB
    The digital snowstorm of 9/29 would like a word with you.
  15. TimB
    For what it’s worth, which is admittedly not much:
  16. TimB
    Anytime you’re comparing an October to 2007 it can’t be good. This one looks like it might have actually been plagued with the high DP problems early in the month and then again mid-month, looks a lot wetter than the 1973 month that had a 26 day almost completely dry stretch. It also had a nice break in the heat with a freeze on tomorrow’s date.
  17. TimB
    But 4 days the whole month where the high exceeded 75 and two where the low exceeded 60.
  18. TimB
    10/17 is a bit of a stretch. GFS has a very pedestrian high of 63 on that day, but that’ll feel great compared to this garbage.
  19. TimB
    Signals seem to be that the pattern might start to break down somewhere around the weekend of the 16th, but can we really count on that? My point and click doesn’t contain a temperature or a dewpoint lower than 58.
  20. TimB
    1975
  21. TimB
    Not a word on the matter from me. We cannot drag any of the OT drama into a wx thread.
  22. TimB
    EC carries the bad stuff through the end of its run.
  23. TimB
    He only follows NASCAR, from what we know so far.
  24. TimB
    It’s set at 72. It’s always a matter of debate whether to open the windows at night, and it may have been possible last night if not for the high dewpoints.
  25. TimB
    Update: it kicked on at 1:33 pm. This pattern is getting ridiculous.
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