SnowenOutThere

I would appreciate a post that goes into the subject in depth. I like history and current events I find it interesting and would like to hear from the perspective of someone who has professionally studied it.

Windy here, that everyone or just me?

GFS a good bit colder

If it follows the evolution of our other storms we should see a decent storm on the models for a bit (yesterday) then it goes in the wrong direction fast, a bit past 100 hours out. Then over the following days as the threat reaches inside 100 hours small treads start making the storm possible again but it is generally locked in as a minor event. Finally, after days of minor progress to an possible event one run from the globals destroy the event. However, people still cling to the short term models as they slowly remove any hope, in the end we get around .5 of an inch.

This thread is sad, how desperate are we to track a storm.

ICON (sucks) looks better for the next threat

Gets moderate/heavy snow to us. The H5 improvement was so good even I could tell it was

Gfs is a huge improvement

Just the quest for not green

Ji would probably complain about the sun angle if he was there.

Thanks so much for always posting all of this stuff. Looks like most have some form of frozen too!

Do you have the surface p-type panels? Would like to see how many show any ice storm. Sort of hard to tell with just the snowfall maps if they are just ice or rain for the area.

it was four AM in the morning. This was after getting up at four AM every day of the week. I was having some issues being conscious.

Almost looks like the two disturbances in the southwest mess with each other, has a storm afterwards but its a weak costal low that is purely an ice to rain setup. They almost shear each other out and bring the storms north? Seems like an odd outcome.

No winds but a bit of rain. Don’t know why there aren’t any winds here compared to other areas nearby.

Brakes in the fast moving clouds, if only there was some sun to hear things up Edit1A: Wow, I should sleep more and post less at four AM, or just check my spelling. Edit1B: Amended version: Breaks in the fast moving clouds, if only there was some sun to heat things up.

GFS has something to track before 200 hours. Won't play out this way but a good sign for frozen soon.

Long range CMC is interesting and quite possibly drunk

Amazing sunrise out there this morning, catch while you can

Latest GFS has an ice storm with CAD as the low tracks to the west around hour 190. Switches to rain. Then cold air becomes more established another storm moves in to the MA giving us decent snow. Won’t happen but is a definite path to victory.

So that's why that high never really moved, I was wondering what was going on. The setup looks interesting, the freezing line never really moved that much until the low was on the same line of height as Pittsburg. It almost 200 hours away so lets see if the storm is still there the next run.

I’m not getting over 2 inches in QDF of all snow? winter cancel.

@mattie g @nj2va and @brooklynwx99 thanks for the explanation. I understood it was a good look based on the ridge out west and the dip out east but thanks for the more in depth explanation. Always trying to learn a bit more to be a bit less clueless. One thing I would like to ask: how good of a sign is this for storms and whatnot, and what could make this look better or is it already near a realistic perfection.

I hardly know what it means but I agree

I know, what is up with that? Why has it not been changed? My personal belief is that there is an international conspiracy keeping the reporting at DCA lower than it should be so that snow weenies get upset and start a revolution over it.