Its gonna be bad for Tampa to Fort Myers south, if anyone stays at this point its on them, this storm was pretty well forecasted and surge was predicted.
Definitely looks that way on radar, looks like the intense convection is trying to wrap around on both sides along with the moat being filled in.
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=BYX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad