Basically it’s when land is so saturated it acts as water which makes a hurricane over land weaken less. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brown_ocean_effect
That cannot possibly be good new for Tampa or Fort Myers, for Tampa it makes the northern eyewall get dangerously close or hit them and for Myers it just increases the already bonkers surge.
Its gonna be bad for Tampa to Fort Myers south, if anyone stays at this point its on them, this storm was pretty well forecasted and surge was predicted.
Definitely looks that way on radar, looks like the intense convection is trying to wrap around on both sides along with the moat being filled in.
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=BYX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad