SnowenOutThere

Cville has grass fully covered and roads have caved. Since around 5am we’ve been getting dendrites with moderate to heavy snow and look to have a couple more hours left too

Been out photographing since 4am give me a break I don’t wanna miss morning light by the Dell

Yep, it’s where half of NoVa ends up

Legitimate heavy snow for the past hour or so with great dendrites and I look to be good for another couple hours with good dynamics. Hope some of that makes it up to you guys!

Huge dendrites sticking to everything right now

Oh I moved (went to college) at UVa so I’m in Cville for this event. In Fairfax I’m just south of Reston town center.

Continued to accumulate on grassy surfaces while pavement is still just wet. Going to be honest I think the higher end totals (at least for myself) are off the table the best FGEN and lift seemed to be located to my north and south. Will be going on Jebwalk regardless in a bit. Best of luck to everyone else!

Can’t complain no matter what. In this short time between posts it’s already cartopper and mulchtopper (pavement is still just wet though)

Light snow has started in Cvill a couple minutes ago. Snow flake size looks pretty good so far! FGEN seems to show two bands setting up (and skunking myself) but we’ll see what happens.

Yeah I don’t think we do. Thank you for looking though!

My chem professor also moved my 8:30am exam to be over zoom so I guess I’m waltzing into that with like 5 hours of sleep. It’s a group exam so I should be fine though as I’ve lowk carried the past ones.

Radar hallucinations have started in Charlottesville

Do you have a link to this for other airports (CHO in my case)?

Thank you for these posts as I think I get what you’re saying now. If I’m understanding you’re saying that the FGEN takes on a more titled angle of SW to NE because the mid lat low amplifies and pumps up the height lines ahead of it just a tiny bit (alongside some jet dynamic sorcery). In practical effects this tilting would cause the eastern bit of the FGEN to be lifted north relative to the screenshot expected trajectory by wind barbs (as they change with the mid-lat cyclone deepening), while the western FGEN would tilt south some. I do worry a little bit that my new location (no longer NOVA as I’ve progressed to UVA) may end up between the 850mb FGEN focus in NoVa and the higher level FGEN further south but honestly from what you’ve said it looks like I’m pretty good to at least catch the western (if tilted south) half of the 700-500mb FGEN! Oh also am NOT looking forward to knowing the equations behind this stuff because damn lapse rate and first law of thermodynamics stuff already almost took me out.

Yeah, this is where I can admit that this is way beyond my pay grade and that real mets are on a whole nother level thats basically magic. Though from trying to piece together what I can understand and the SPC analysis page you're basically saying that the primary max stripe is driven by the 700-500mb FGEN (as it overlaps with DGZ better) and strong 850mb FGEN and this setups somewhere in Central VA. Meanwhile NOVA and the like are displaced from the higher level FGEN and will use the 850mb instead. While I don't understand the math or physics behind it should I generally assume the 700-500 FGEN will just progress along with the wind barbs (which does seem to place it oddly northward to even fringe me?) Oh, and while I'm annoying you I'm targeting around 3:30 start of my Jebwalk lmk if that checks out.

700mb frontgen is entering the southern parts of our region were now at Nowcasting time! Also some weird line of 850 frontgen over NOVA that has been strengthening over the past couple hours. Anyone know whats up with that?

Looks like its the band hits Charlottesville a couple hours earlier (4am sounding for refence). Will be a fun Jebwalk! (sorry to my poor roommate who has to deal with that though). But what a thing of beauty compared to the HRRR runs we were looking at earlier.

UVA delayed start till 10am so I get out of my Chem group exam at 8:30am!

I don't particularly like that hole of sub 2 inches near where I am but I will have faith that the HRRR is onto nothing (though honestly it sorta makes sense two have two maxes).

Generally seems wetter than the HRRR depiction which helps us all out even south id think. I’m just praying I don’t get stuck between bands!

I am interested in how the lift profile throughout the atmosphere impacts snow rates if you got any resources on that. Ik that sometimes it causes our events to underperform but I have no idea how to read if that’ll happen

A halo in folk meteorology means a storms coming but yk close enough

Mine has a halo around it which can only mean one thing…

Are we allowed to panic if the snow falling isn’t good ratio stuff because of misaligned DGZ and lift?

Should mention "hot and heavy" is still in the context of this storm's version of it. Though it will definitely be pretty as it falls.