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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. Don’t worry sometime when every single model from day 7 out shows only us getting 2+ ft with zero deviations we’ll get over a foot of snow again. A bit more seriously is there a reason why anytime we start a trend in the wrong direction it just seems to never flip back? It can’t just be bad luck can it?
  2. Where is your planned hike? I probably will be out and about those same hours taking pictures.
  3. Good to see some positive trends with the 6z suite. Let’s hope they continue for 12z!
  4. Also hey everyone please be mindful of our snow removal/city planning thread. Make sure all relevant storm discussion stays out of here.
  5. Ah I was in NYC for the Boxing Day storm this year and wondered why there was so little salt compared to our roads down here. I do think the less salt and more focus on clearing is the better way for a city and it’s more environmentally friendly.
  6. Love to see that spread east with the initial thump of precip being heavier and snow. I think at this point we want a more amped up storm and just bank on that as our floor and ceiling.
  7. I wonder if you could do a whole case study on events like that. It’s something I’ll think about as I progress through my college courses and humanities writings.
  8. Dang DC’s mayor forecast gotta include rain in germantown, 0 inches at DCA and then 12 inches in NW DC. Tough world out there for mayors tweeting about snow.
  9. I was about to comment that. Basically always trust the GFS 270 hours out.
  10. I said I didn’t want to get political in my post discussing the initial claim of the NYC mayors tweet, that post on the other hand is a political statement yes. I mean we’ve butt heads on this stuff way back when so ofc I know we have our biases.
  11. Man I’m not sure what would you want him to say? Forecasting is tricky, I myself put out a roughly 4-14 inch prediction for Nova because I can’t say with confidence where in that range we will lie.
  12. I mean the GFS is a bit faster with the sleet line but also has more QDF falling.
  13. Btw NWS not backing down with their snowfall maps
  14. Its trying its best to miss the SW phase. I assume this means drier first part but still amped second part.
  15. I think both? Also has less 850mb winds from the south so far so it'll be colder too
  16. Further east NS and further S SW. Seems to want to stick to its guns.
  17. Ah my bad, guess the map just showed freezing rain for funsies. Though with a layer that warm I'd think freezing rain isn't unlikely?
  18. Honestly, I think next snowstorm I should block all weather sites and just let it ride till two days beforehand. The 0z runs Wednesday ruined me a bit and I forced myself to not look till 12z which helped me accept that its sleet town. I just wish that when I saw a singular model run that was bad for us it wasn't a death sentence. It's like we need every single run to show the jackpot and any deviation becomes our reality.
  19. Find an old one from a previous storm and rage bait people with it.
  20. Sorry after this week I want that snow stripe over Bermuda right now. At day five Bahamas are a good target and at day 1 I want the storm over east NC.
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