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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SnowenOutThere
    Yk, I almost wonder if the NAM run is better than a full phase. I think last night even the best GFS runs only were truly amazing for the 50 mile area where the moisture is thrown back as the low occludes. If we instead get a bit of a messier interaction that might allow for the moisture to be thrown further back as the low isn't cut off from the baroclinic boundary and vertically stacked. Might not have the crazy upside but would be more area wide. Just spitballing but wonder what your thoughts are on that.
  2. SnowenOutThere
    Lmao its the only model that doesn't have Cvill get the down slopping snowhole from hell would love it to be right
  3. SnowenOutThere
    Dunno if the NAM will manage to capture the coastal fully but regardless had some great changes at H5
  4. SnowenOutThere
    Pretty fun! Didn’t get any cool orthographic clouds but oh well
  5. SnowenOutThere
    I’ve been out hiking and adventuring all today so what did I miss? Generally seems like guidance is shifting to a 70% GFS 30% Euro solution from last night
  6. SnowenOutThere
    Diabolical blue spot on that map
  7. SnowenOutThere
    Anyways, personally I think uva is in a bad spot for this storm but cheering on everyone else! Might head up to nova or Shenandoah to enjoy the snow instead
  8. SnowenOutThere
    Massive shift actually
  9. SnowenOutThere
    There were some changes I liked on the H5 some too
  10. SnowenOutThere
    Going to hike old rag (maybe) or drive along skyline drive till I find someplace cool this afternoon. Got some good orthographic clouds out in the mountains around UVA right now so I hope I see them later too.
  11. SnowenOutThere
    I actually don’t hate the GFS so far
  12. SnowenOutThere
    Eh it’s get Shenandoah nice and good
  13. SnowenOutThere
    Anyways, I’m hopefully checking out for tonight. Everyone else I hope you can bring us home.
  14. SnowenOutThere
    Ehhhh NAM is blurring those lines. Frankly, we need some form of coastal in order to maximize our IVT. Even if the best dynamics and lift is provided by the IVT it needs to coastal moisture fetch to actually precipitate.
  15. SnowenOutThere
    It actually was encouraging to me as it’s H5 setup is different than the GFS and shows another way to score
  16. SnowenOutThere
    NAM is better for the coastal fans but worse for the people who want to bet on the H5 pass to get snow
  17. SnowenOutThere
    For the record we've now blown by the previous most daily posts count for all previous threads this winter.
  18. SnowenOutThere
    Here is their base snowfall map btw Any met want to weigh in on what the hell is going on with the Shenandoah's? I know that their elevation and upslope will help them but is this just the NWS graphic overdoing it or human made?
  19. SnowenOutThere
    I love the sentiment but I think this storm should be a special case. I mean IF this continues to trend well it'll be the first storm in 10 years that trends well inside day 5 and of all possible storms to do so it's some weird coastal miller B during February with a bad airmass. This is the people's storm
  20. SnowenOutThere
    The view after the 18z Euro
  21. SnowenOutThere
    Yep. I personally just focused on the NS and SW interaction as that's where my pay grade is (and without that going right we don't have a storm) but you're right. It was a major concession on pretty much every feature.
  22. SnowenOutThere
    Whos ready for the biggest long range NAM hallucination run of the winter!
  23. SnowenOutThere
    What the fuck. I was doing homework the last hour and played the 18z euro and my jaw dropped. It did the thing where it elongates the NS like the GFS. In my opinion it made an absolutely massive shift at the H5. It just failed to really capture the SW wave and get it as far west. While I think that is still a pie in the sky dream it just went from impossible to "extremely improbable".
  24. SnowenOutThere
    Hey it can always be a teaching tool of the perfect H5 setup!
  25. SnowenOutThere
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