SnowenOutThere
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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
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GFS is about the same as 12z
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You mean the .1 it shows at DC over the weekend after this one? Just confused to his post about being disappointed if next weekend doesn't work out. -
You mean this time period because if so I'm confused to what we are tracking here.
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I'm aware, but it is so painful to see how classic it looks before cutting to Ohio, maybe we can get a miracle for once but most likely its a hopefully couple inches of snow northwest of the metros to rain.
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It looks so close to something great.
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Did you forget December? It is fair to say that the Atlantic side help "failed" but it did happen.
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If you ascribe to that idea then I wouldn't recommend looking at the GFS or CMC, maybe its the storm after the next storm that has a chance.
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Thanks for a rough surface low map, I was just confused on how the H5 map with the upper low to our left could be a costal outcome for us. I guess a progressive pattern helps make that happen.
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I thought that was the new GFS's feature
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Cool, but doesn't the H5 map still show something that more resembles a cutter than a costal or am I misunderstanding something.
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What are it's biases?
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Just need another 25 miles southeast for the temp line and we are looking good. Lots of potential with this system based on the amount of precip alone.
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The Canadian model went the wrong way unfortunately at 12z by bringing the primary low further north.
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CMC cuts into Canada with the primary but still has some front end ice.
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Before you think that something can't happen because it looks weird remember that we had a storm that went from the outer banks to Harrisonburg last year.
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CMC looks a bit better and may be closer to the ICON, but the GFS looks the same as its 6z run
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Looks almost identical
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Just need that to happen a day or so earlier, though there is minimal cold to work with as depicted on the Euro.
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So close, phases the blobs of energy this run unlike 0z, definitely time left on the table for a positive outcome. The H5 looks very close to something
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CMC made a major improvement for a mixed event for the region, even ends as snow for the metro centers.
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I’d take the southern slider if it meant we got that.
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https://twitter.com/burgwx/status/1615097732099710983?s=20&t=El_o5afTqNPXT-EpIT8ZKg
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Probably could make the case for a subtropical low at this point. Maybe post season review will bring it up.
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