SnowenOutThere
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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
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Just need to get some snow on the ground before that arctic outbreak happens.
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Miller acbdfu thread coming back from the grave
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Better than the opposite at least
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Still a good trend from the 0z run, has accumulating snow near the Mason-Dixon line instead of in upstate New York.
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Incoming on GFS?
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It looks like the 12z GFS could be trending in that direction with the primary low becoming stretched out the middle of the country as there is some front end snow due to CAD over the MA.
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CMC with a cold ice storm for the area, which is another trend towards a colder solution with a better costal low placement
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Ridge Bridge
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Merry Christmas
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GFS trying to set up a shortwave train after the cutter this week, hopefully that can set up a Christmas miracle*. * That miracle being Ji not complaining
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If we are picking useless long range OP runs I nominate the CMC
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Please stick to the tropical threads
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Thanks for the response, I've been trying to learn more about the upper air part of meteorology and trying to figure out if the pattern will actually flip. It's nice to hear that you think the pattern will flip around the 10th. Is there any reason that models almost always switch patterns too quickly? If so why has it not been addressed?
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What are you thinking of the upcoming pattern switch? The later model trends only seem to be delaying the switch, which was expected to my knowledge, so are we roughly in the same spot or do you think anything has seriously changed for the forecast 12/20 onwards?
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How?
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December 7th was right on when the pattern would switch, does it still look ok enough after that?
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Because it is almost the only thing you post about, they aren't helpful posts either, they just complain about our enso state. They provide no value other than to depress the thread.
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Yeah probably, just find it funny when the GFS has some storm at the end of its range that would be really neat to see play out.
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Why does the GFS only get good at 384 hours...
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Dec 9-10?
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Could we run the GFS past 384 just once?
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It shows the potential for a spun up nor easter unfortunately it seems to be a bit too far east.
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18z GFS gets so close to the Dec 12th threat but the NS energy doesn't develop in time and the Outer banks get hammered. Hopefully it continues to show up in some form in the future
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That's a lot of blue over us with a western ridge too and of course the crazy -NAO
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