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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. GFS shows a nice hit right in the second window people have been mentioning.
  2. Does seem to be digging out west maybe a bit more
  3. It honestly was shocking but really hammered home what posters like PSU have said about how important surface level temps are in marginal storms. The parking lot was 33 degrees which just wasn’t cold enough compared to even 500ft higher where it had to be comfortably below freezing. Sad to think about what this may mean for our snowfall in future marginal cases but can see why PSU (and others, he just articulates it well) gets so irritated by the storms that could’ve been if it wasn’t 1-2 degrees too warm now.
  4. I hiked between 1 and 4pm and it was pouring snow the whole time, only difference is that at the lower elevations it didn't stick. First picture is around 800ish feet, second is 1100 feet and the third is 1600ft, very clear example of how important temps are in marginal situations.
  5. Went on a hike to bobs hill (1755ft) from a base of 820ft, great hike would highly recommended felt like a real snow storm with wind and everything once I got past cat rock. The elevation difference was crazy, went from elevated surfaces with some snow then around 1000ft it switched to several inches and accumulating, at the top there had to be around 4-6inches.
  6. Just got to the base of catoctin park and am planning to hike up to around 1700ft, the microclimate difference is already crazy. Went from no snow on the group near Thurmont to a coating on everything
  7. Do you have any idea where the best place to go in the Catoctins would be today? I was looking around the actual peak or bobs hill at 1741ft
  8. Think it might be worth it to head up to the Catoctins for a hike midday today to see some (hopefully accumulating) snow.
  9. 12z has a similar progression, is something to watch and evens pops a coastal (too late for us but gets NYC good)
  10. Also has a nice snow to ice event before that with a west tracking low running into confluence
  11. Maybe its time to try the old start a sacrificial thread then start the real thread to bring it back trick.
  12. Cape storm number 1 worked out so sounds like this one is basically guarantied then
  13. Reminder for everyone to go vote today if you haven’t! Special election for me as it will be my first time voting!
  14. Of all people to judge someone else's posts as nonsensical I'm not entirely sure you should be.
  15. Uptick in lightning surrounding the whole eyewall now too, adding evidence to the idea it may be strengthening
  16. A 70 mph increase in 12 hours shows how conductive the gulf is for strong storms right now, can only hope the conditions responsible for such rapid intensification changes significantly enough to offset the extremely favorable ssts
  17. Category 5 now after truly insane intensification
  18. Special update to get it to a major hurricane with the hurricane hunter recon data
  19. I bet that person has some insane music playing as he does it, lets hope they dont win a Darwin award though.
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