TheNiño

Milwaukee has 35,000 without power as well

Moderate now for parts of Missouri and Illinois. I feel somewhat vindicated.

00z HRRR came in hot for eastern Missouri and central Illinois. Looking like a more limited risk for LOT but things down south are looking quite spicy Edit: No moderate risk on the new day 1. Is my weenie certificate mailed to me or do I need to pick it up in person?

No moderate risk on the day 2 so I’ll probably be wrong. But I still see high risk potential in the Springfield area tomorrow. I’m willing to take the weenie penalty if I’m wrong but at the very least there should be a moderate there. I don’t know I’m just some fucking guy.

Am I being a weenie thinking this has high risk potential around the STL to Springfield area? I know it’s still too early to tell but the models certainly aren’t backing down.

Fair response. I have a friend there and he claimed the sirens activated first before any warning was issued, then again after the threat had passed and he sent me video of the fact in real time. But I appreciate your first hand account, he’s not a weather weenie. I made a post in the banter thread about the automated system being used and how it’s working. Appreciate your genuine experience with it. I’m not trying to shit on the new system just wanting to get legit first hand experiences which you did so thank you.

Yeah I don’t mean to be sounding critical and this isn’t really on the spc, the warning was justified. This is more on my city specifically. I get it, tornado warning is issued so they sound the alarm. But then 90min (not an exaggeration) elapsed and they never sounded them again. Meanwhile Libertyville’s automated alarm system kept going off well after the threat had passed.

Ours went off 90 min ahead of time then never went off again when it finally hit, and there was definitely radar indicated rotation when it did arrive. Plus it was the 4th day in a row our sirens have gone off way too early. Being right next to the lake we are always at the tail end of these warnings. The general public has to be so irritated at this point. I get they want to give as much warning time as possible but 90min and then not sounding them again when the threat is imminent is not ideal.

Anyone have thoughts on this? So far I am not a fan. Mundelein had their sirens go off on Tuesday for a severe thunderstorm warning that didn’t really amount to anything. Today Libertyville had their sirens go off an hour before a warning was ever even issued, then went off 2 more times during and then again after the threat had already passed. Not sure having sirens go off for severe thunderstorm warnings is a great idea. People are just going to start ignoring them more than they already are. I understand the desire to automate them but I’m not sure it’s working all that well right now. We all know the story about crying wolf.

Jonas…. Son of a bitch.

4th tornado warning in 4 days now lol

Third tornado warning in as many days here

Nice big watch box now. Some strong-ish language… Tornado Watch for portions of Central and Eastern lowa Northern Illinois Extreme Southeast Minnesota Southern Wisconsin Lake Michigan Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until 1000 PM CDT. Primary threats include... Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms will pose a threat for very large to giant hail this afternoon and evening as they track eastward, with the largest hailstones potentially reaching up to 3-4 inches in diameter. The threat for several tornadoes will increase later this afternoon and evening along a warm front, and any sustained supercell will be capable of producing a strong tornado. Otherwise, scattered to numerous severe/damaging winds may eventually occur as thunderstorms consolidate into one or more bowing clusters, with peak gusts up to 65-75 mph.

It’s definitely time.

Was wondering if that could possibly be the first PDS watch of the year. Might not be enough to reach that criteria but it could be close.

Juicy

South of Davenport looking gnarly

What I was thinking too. Appreciate the ALEK call

Any thoughts on the Springfield area? Will be there and am having trouble getting a read on it. Timing seems too early rn but still in the slight risk. Going from near 90 to 35 is going to be interesting. Will have to switch from AC to heat at my Airbnb. Gotta love March.

MKE hoisted a watch for SE Wisconsin. I thought they’d wait it out a bit longer but due to the potential for heavy impacts it’s understandable. The MKE area will probably vary pretty widely county by county. I do not envy the forecasters on this one. Going to be an interesting few days here in Kenosha trying to figure this one out.

Sounds like you did ok brother. We all know what to do during a tornado when we’re sitting on the couch in clear weather. And it’s easy to judge when we are safely watching videos away from the danger. When it actually happens IRL it’s so much different and I know from experience. I also regret some of my decisions when I was in one. I hope you’re all safe man glad you’re ok. Take a breather, and I’m being serious here, play some Tetris (an actual proven way to help with trauma right after experiencing it). You’re not dumb. When shtf our brains go to mush. You did what you could under stress and pressure and it sounds like you’re all ok that’s what matters. You did good man. I’m sorry you experienced this though.

Pretty cool. Sorry you no longer hold the record (I know this one isn’t confirmed yet), but let’s hope this one doesn’t get beat. Good grief I can’t imagine the noise and damage 6in hail would do. Feel bad for any people or animals that had to endure that.

Wouldn’t this be the largest hailstone ever recorded in Illinois by over an inch?? Correct me if I’m wrong.

Holy…

Sorry if it’s annoying to resurrect this thread but saw this and thought my fellow weather nerds would enjoy: