Jump to content

Jt17

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    677

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Jt17

  1. Jt17
    To my untrained eye this looks like the euro ensemble is taking a similar track to what it had at 00z? And based on the 850 temps at this frame it would actually be snowing at hour 120. Perhaps there's some hope the OP models have completed their west trend and might wiggle back east a bit. Still too early to give up on that possibility IMO.
  2. Jt17
    GFS, GEM and Euro all have a deep low pressure system off the coast on Monday with the GFS crushing the area, the GEM not too far off and the Euro heading out to sea. Something fun to keep an eye on at least...
  3. Jt17
    GEM has a similarly intense bomb for the 17th, but a couple 100 miles further off the coast than the GFS run. Let's hope a similarly intense storm is still showing up on the models around Thursday. Would be exciting to track a real ol' fashion nor'easter
  4. Jt17
    GFS showing a powerful coastal bomb for 1/17...
  5. Jt17
    Pretty sure eduggs is right. LGA broke the record I believe for snow ratios in a storm of a certain size with like 25/1 ratios with them getting over 9" of snow, but only .4"ish liquid. Wouldn't make sense for JFK a few miles away to be the polar opposite situation. (I live about a mile from LGA so I can report that there was a shocking amount of snow compared to the 3-5 inch forecast, which would have usually lined up better with the liquid precip)
  6. Jt17
    Is it poor form these days for peeps to post visuals of storms that are only 4/5 days out now? Not asking for clown maps, just a little more in here to see when I check in would be fun/informative.
  7. Jt17
    An official nws obs at 7:00am at LGA for 8.4 inches while it was still snowing pretty good... is quite the over performance no matter how you cut it. 3-5 inch was the overwhelming prediction on just about every outlet. Seems like while we had a pretty strong consensus of .4-.5 liquid equivalent precipitation, but everybody has been burned too much by estimating ratios in the past, even if this storm screamed higher ratio snows. If they had gone with higher ratio snow idea we prob would have been in a WSW instead of a ww advisory for NYC and it would have been appropriate, because nearly 9 inches in a 7 hour period of snow is not advisory level stuff.
  8. Jt17
    Bing Bong
  9. Jt17
    Nah, I've been scanning weather forums for decades. This is odd.
  10. Jt17
    Just wondering how the euro could look like THAT 3.5 days before the possible event and this forum can be so dead?
  11. Jt17
    Certainly seems to have trended that way.
  12. Jt17
    This has to be the slowest this forum has been less than 2 days before what's looking like an 8-12 inch mostly snow event for the entire sub-forum lol!
  13. Jt17
    Nothing will beat 1996 for me. The storm was so intense I honestly think it was hard to get spotters to even do snow measurements. It's hard to explain how intense that storm was... The drifts were ridiculous too!
  14. Jt17
    I disagree - Central Park is most likely over 18 inches already. I read the update and unless they misworded it they corrected there 1 PM report in Central Park to 15.3 inches of snow because they forgot to add the 2 inches from yesterday. I'm here in NYC and we definitely had consistent albeit lighter snow since then. No doubt they'll get to 18 inches or more, as will all of the other boros. Edit - Central Park up to 18.3....
  15. Jt17
    15.3 at 12:51.. def a high chance of breaking into the top 5 all time in Central Park
  16. Jt17
    still thinking 12"-18" or more like 18"-24" now that it seems the panic of the dry slot is dissipating?
  17. Jt17
    For many that's mostly light stuff/sleet
  18. Jt17
    If this verifies Central Park has a legit run at a top 4 snowfall. The models predicted this to be a long storm, I think people got spooked when the earlier bands passed by and figured that was the end of it...
  19. Jt17
    That total was over 2 hours ago and 2 of those hours included intense snow. Almost certainly over 15 inches so far.
  20. Jt17
    Most of the five boros have reports of 15+ inches already with plenty of time left to tack on 5 more inches. Eventually the radar will fill back in and it won't take very much to get 20 inch totals. I think people just expect snow to arrive in a far more linear way than it actually does. As we've seen, it comes in waves.
  21. Jt17
    I'm pretty sure many have forgotten just how long a duration this storm is going to be. It's going to pivot and heavy returns will make its way back through. Patience folks. Currently puking snow here in Flushing Queens.
  22. Jt17
    Yep, there's a shake shack in the park lol
  23. Jt17
    You keep saying that but the returns say otherwise. I'm here in queens and it's puking snow. I think the camera can make it look like it's snowing more or less heavily than it actually is depending on a few various factors...
  24. Jt17
    No he means we got 5+ inches area wide that wasn't even picked up by the models.
  25. Jt17
    That was an over an hour ago too, so possibly a fair bit more at this point!
×
×
  • Create New...