Jt17
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Everything posted by Jt17
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GFS running...
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Not being facetious when I say this, but they are always getting new data. Thus we shouldn't be surprised to see waffling around. Especially in this set up.
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can't remember this NOT happening
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I can't imagine it's going to hop around like this, all of the models seem to be shooting darts with the location of the LP
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18z nam at hour 63: then at 66:
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The models are really struggling with where the LP should be focused.
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I think you or somebody else said this earlier. Then the EURO came out and it was stuffed with people. I guarantee at 4:45 it will be packed in here.
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the Euro on it's previous 06z run and 12z run and NAM on it's 12z model run did a similar thing with the low depiction. Hopefully it's just temporary noise that resolves over the next few runs and gets the weenies of the ledge.
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Now would be a perfect time for NAM to continue to mess with us
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Yea I saw it close off initially and was ready to celebrate
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lol I saw that... I feel like that's part of why there's that double barrel feature in the op. I think it's confused
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Pretty proportional shift to the op
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What have you noticed out west that has you more optimistic?
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Lol it appears he's a classic contrarian
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Nam is at 3:30ish? Lol
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Yea hard to tell on Pivotal - also I live in queens so looks more like 12 to me lol
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Where are you? Didn't for NYC. Looks like NY is still well clear of a foot
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Good I thought it looked weird. People say this and I never know what it means but could it be connective feedback? It looked like it phased and then all of a sudden it got torn apart
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Literally nobody posted that. Somebody said it looked more amped and they probably meant at some random hour like 57 or 60
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If did that at 6z but it eventually and slightly earlier seemed to favor the western low and that's when it came back and tucked a little around Long Island. If it's going to evolve with a double barrel low, that's what it's going to have to do for it to be awesome for us still.
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Now would be a hilarious time for the Goofus to jump 200 miles west next run
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Just eyeballing it - it's probably 50 miles east with the best snows. Not terrible. Not ideal, but threat is by no means dead for big snows for the sub-forum
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Looks identical to last run. It just pulled it out at the last minute last run and took a nap south of LI dumping snow on us. But we'll see. Could end up worse of course
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24-36" for me - just looking for a nice winter look, nothing crazy.
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He's not right, as depicted this is a very cold storm - you're going to have some ratio snows
