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Northof78

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Everything posted by Northof78

  1. Northof78
    Not sure the surface will be a problem generally, but for city itself heat island always an issue unless really cold.
  2. Northof78
    6z GFS ups the ante, more moisture and a more robust system seems to be the trend. 2-4" for much of the forum
  3. Northof78
    Seperate thread on this storm potential...
  4. Northof78
    Most models have a light overrunning signal for Tuesday December 23rd for N NJ/NYC/S NY State/CT. New GFS signals a chance for 1" - 3" for most of the subforum.
  5. Northof78
    7.0" storm total, Millburn, NJ Essex County
  6. Northof78
    What is your location?
  7. Northof78
    Actually now that I looked at the PHL reporting observations as well, basically everyone in NJ will be in the 5" - 8" range north of AC to Highpoint.
  8. Northof78
    7.0" of snow on the ground with light snow/flurries still falling and storm total in S/W Essex County, huge overperformer! Biggest storm since 2021 here and can't remember the last 2X outperformer. Beautiful outside, and love December snows pre-Christmas... Looks like Somerset, Hunterdon, N/W Middlesex, W Essex, W Union, Passaic, Warren, Morris, C/N Bergen, and Sussex will all end up with 5" - 8"...
  9. Northof78
    6.3" in S/W Essex County with light/moderate snow continuing...2X overperformer...gorgeous outside
  10. Northof78
    4.5” OTG and coming down nicely (moderate pace), looks like bonus area was N/W of originally thought. Look to end between 5” - 6”. Looks beautiful outside with everything pasted in deep white.
  11. Northof78
    2"-4" from 287 E and Rt. 78 S.
  12. Northof78
    We are currently in a very cold area of Earth History....Enjoy it, no matter what the Earth should mean revert to warmer temperatures after coming out of the ice age/abnormally cold period, but we are still well below long term averages.
  13. Northof78
    We got to close this thread...all this for nothing, flurries, or a dusting...
  14. Northof78
    GFS continues a stormy and cold pattern through the entire period.
  15. Northof78
    As it should, historically (looking back over 100,000's of years) we are currently in roughly the 80th percentile of cold vs. warm (80% of the time the world was warmer than current). Over periods of time it should normally warm off these levels and the ice caps should melt, if the past repeats itself, does man have a meaningful impact to the natural course of the warming (if there is a statistically signifcant one), no way we can say with certainty.
  16. Northof78
    Looks like chance of a very minor to 1" - 2" snowfall this Sunday with upper lever low and some coastal presence
  17. Northof78
    NAM back to a 3-6"....need other models to come on board now @ 12z to give much credence
  18. Northof78
    Gfs now cold through entire run...
  19. Northof78
    I would phrase the NAM as 'snow showers likely'
  20. Northof78
    Very interesting, thanks, yes only small shortfalls, and you had to go back 45 - 55 years to find 2 examples, shows you how rare this outcome is!
  21. Northof78
    Hey ORH, what are up to this weekend so far, it seems from roughly the M/D line south snowfall is above normal, while from M/D through SNE (maybe CNE) remains below normal?
  22. Northof78
    GFS was in a league of its own (along with EAI), never showing a blockbuster storm, and the flattest by a wide margin over all others through the entire period.
  23. Northof78
    I wonder if there ever has been a winter in recent times that has been below or @ normal temperatures in each of the winter months (D,J,F) and also in the aggregate for the entire time period, where we have also seen below average snowfall. I cannot think of one. It used to be if you could predict overall temperature anomaly of the winter you would predict snowfall as well....not this one
  24. Northof78
    One out of 2 perfect tracks isn't bad...although probably would prefer a little cold air
  25. Northof78
    GFS did very well also, where it was always much flatter than other guidance and I dont think every showed a monster, maybe it had one run with a moderate storm.
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