IowaStorm05

Hi. Today I will call myself "Barbara Vancent". I have an savant obsession about car accidents, and vehicle safety designs. I am 37 years old and have 21 years of safe driving experience with no rateable accidents on my record. Most of us know and observe how much safer modern cars are than cars from 20, 30, 40 years ago. This is true. But we have to take the speed limit seriously, and avoid exceeding it. I will explain and defend my contention, followed by some links to back up my claims below my essay. The way modern cars are safer for crashes is for many reasons, some involving automation and trigonometry and drive stability. But for the structure of the car and the airbags, these designs ARE ONLY DESIGNED TO SAVE LIVES WHEN YOU ARE DEALING WITH 25 to 40 MPH direct IMPACT SPEEDS. In my studies I have observed that the lion's share of lives saved by modern vehicles are in crashes where the actual speed AT IMPACT is 25 to 40 mph. That is what I am going to explain. Deaths-Per-Million rates are so much lower than in the mid to late 20th century because these 30-40mph impacts used to kill people in most cases, especially before 3-point seatbelts and side airbags were accepted by society. BUT Modern vehicles are far less effective at saving lives in impacts that occur at speeds above 43mph (Look that number up; 43mph). If you are driving down a two lane highway, you know the common one with the yellow line in the middle, If you are in a modern car, and another modern car crosses into your lane from opposing traffic and you have a moderate offset head-on crash where each vehicle is travelling 40mph, that is about the upper limit for which modern cars can reliably save your life. IF you take this exact situation and change that speed to 50 mph for each car, odds are very high one or both drivers will be killed. Of course real world crashes are way more complicated than just that, but my point is... Today's "SAFE" cars cannot save your life in high speed "major" impacts. A lot of people will say "Oh my buddy Joe crashed at 80mph and survived". Well I say, probably not exactly. He might have been travelling at 80mph before he lost control, but almost certainly he was very lucky. He either almost certainly slowed down considerably either by breaking, skidding or clipping lots of objects INDIRECTLY leading to his out-of-control car coming to a stop... IF Joe's vehicle actually had struck a car directly or semi-directly at 80mph, or fully wrapped around a tree at 80mph, he would have died instantly. My arguement is that if you drive WITHIN the speed limit, especially when you are dealing with speeds over 35mph, this tips odds greatly in your favor. If you drive 65mph on the freeway instead of 80mph... And something goes wrong such as a tire blowing out or you get clipped by another car.... The odds are far greater in the former scenario that your vehicle will slow to survivable speeds before a major impact, and any kind of impact will have much more survivable forces upon your fleshy fragile body. If you lose control while travelling at 80 or 85 mph and leave the road, only the very lucky will survive. If the speed limit is 55mph on a two lane highway and you choose to drive 55mph instead of your friend who would drive 64mph, this is enough of a difference that gives you a much much greater physiological chance to slow down and react if something goes wrong, versus your friend's scenario. To further prove my point about the limitations of modern car safety: Have you ever seen the results of a WRONG WAY freeway head-on? It is when one car travelling 55-75mph has a head-on with another vehicle closing in at him also at 55-75mph. Do a search on youtube or google and you will get to see how this type of crash crushes even the most modern cars like an accordion.... and most of the time the occupants are killed instantly. EVEN IN THE NEWEST VOLVO the result would be the same. Modern cars cannot save your life in high-speed direct impacts, that is my point... and what defines "High speed" Is a lot lower than what most people think. And about weather... I often observe traffic driving close to the speed limit even during a rainstorm. This is erroneous because a wet road offers considerably less traction than a dry one. Nighttime visibility reduction is a thing too. I tend to aim to only drive 60% to 80% of the speed limit if there is simple rain. I respect speed of traffic factors too, but if there is only one lane in my travel direction, I will lead those behind me in rainy weather, and force those behind me to drive no more than 85-90% of the speed limit. Speed limits are meant to be followed only in the most ideal conditions. Things "Go wrong" more often than we hope. My former roommate was driving home from Iowa City in 2019 on a 55mph highway. His tire came loose and the whole wheel fell off of his car. The wheel continued on down the road while he spun out. He was fortunate that he did not flip, and did not strike any objects. But he is a safe driver and was going close to the speed limit. Nobody was injured in the incident. https://www.thecarcrashdetective.com/how-to-survive-a-head-on-collision-slow-down-to-below-43mph/ https://www.patrickmalonelaw.com/2019/11/01/how-much-damage-40mph-crash/

This just keeps looking better and better. It is showing up to look like Jan 7 just like my hopes and intuition went for.

Upton has urban heat megalopolis at the front of mind, you have to remember.

Less time out than that. Starts in less than 12 hours?

Can't we jack a bit in this setup? I am seeing kisses and promises for at least 2"

Any analogue-ness to the Jan 7 overperform?

Hmmm. It isnt that bad. In fact it can allow folks to embrace snow with relatively less impacts, as long as roads are still treated a bit. In fact, at the microclimate I lived in the 90s and early 2000s, the climate was such that we often experienced accumulating snow when the temperature was 33 or 34 degrees for the duration of the event!!!!!!!! And, that meant the roads might stay clear while 6 inches is on the grass. In a California/Nevada climate, the dew points if I am not mistaken are what allowed for this. A frequent scenario was that the high might reach 40 or 50 degrees, but any precip would still fall as snow because the band moves in, and snow immediately drags the temperature down to the low 30s. In that kind of climate, a lot of weird temperature effects take place particularly in late winter and early spring when you have weak low pressure systems hanging around, and lots of uneven shallow heating from the sun. Elevation does that too. Big-dog storms would make things less erratic but even with those you might see accumulating snow at 33 degrees. And as you might imagine, Ice and sleet are extremely rare there. I have seen snow accumulate without sticking to the roads here as well but it isnt as common... because if it is snowing, it means it is below freezing.

What is the chance of snow in march at least 1 inch in the interior SNE? About 70 per cent?

06z models still mostly avoid offering snow this far NW

I was irked from getting 9 inches while others got 20 to 25 in the James Blizzard.

Took a look at models. It looks like our odds of a light snow are higher, but it is not enough to be excited just yet

Oh wow. I come back 12 hours later and things are looking up? Shall we get some snow to enjay?

00z NAM just kind of keeping its step for a couple inches here, lets see if its still mostly alone.

Come on, feel the noize! Girls rock your boys! We'll get wild, wild wild.. WILD WILD WILD! So you think you got an evil mind, I tell you honey. I dont know why! I dont know why!

Looking at this, I feel like I have about a 30% chance of getting more than 1 inch of snow.

I don’t know how Olympic sport athletes manage to not feel paranoid if they choose to take doping agent. More still, the impacts of their health. They are young and seem to think they’re invancible.

I am horrified that scientists say that at the current clip, 85 to 90 per cent of Great Ape habitat land in Africa is going to be gone by 2050. Humans know this…. The corporations know this. But they don’t care and have no problem exterminating our cousins just to expand their farming. I am not experiencing regular anger about this. Instead it feels like a part of me is being crushed and destroyed. I donate toward wildlife conservation efforts about this and frankly the fact that people are unwilling to pull back on this today is disturbing me.

That winter was a major snooze. I was 17 but I remember it pretty well. It was 630 million seconds ago. Maybe 5-20 inches in SNE entire season?

There was a light dusting of snow on top of a light crustiness…. Maybe just the snow having partly melted but now it’s ZR but the roads aren’t bad yet I really don’t like the pattern of bitter cold interspersed with heavy rain.

I think somebody might be actually entering my apartment and doing nothing but leaving items that don’t belong to me. Loaded shotgun shells, photos of strange girls. See because we don’t use guns or have them, and the only way that shell could be explained is if it came from inside my recliner chair from the store it came from and hid in there for 3 years. I mean it’s one thing to be crazy…. But the laws of physics are pretty strict. Objects don’t have a habit of appearing magically. Forced Entry is often seen as a requirement for burglary having taken place… unless you live in an apartment building… in which others actually have keys to the units besides the tenant.

Hey 19. No we can’t dance together. No we can’t talk at all. Please take me along when you slide on down.

If it looks like this 5 days out… it will probably trend NW and bring rain to the coastal plain. Now I have seen these hold pat or trend southeast occasionally but it’s a 30/70 type deal. 70 per cent of time it trends N. That’s if it’s even there at all by then.

I looked out at the streetlights across the river. It's definitely snowing

Snow now?!

It made some people happy. I thought it was pretty nasty. I was exposed to too much cold rain going in and out of the building at work. Fake back edge of precip hit CT at 1pm. Rained at times all the way to 7pm. 80 per cent of shift spent out doors rounding up things. I bought gear to help but it is substandard, annoying to wear, and by end of shift I was partly wet and headed toward mild hypothermia. Feet soaked. Place gear adjacent to radiator to dry. That being said I show up more prepared than most of the other guys who could care less if they work soaking wet. Drive home featured increasingly slushy roads with icy shoulder. Snow is great to work in but this is disgusting.