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Ed, snow and hurricane fan

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Everything posted by Ed, snow and hurricane fan

  1. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    In that spirit of Nostalgia, and something Weather Fella would remember, I was a grade school kid in Massapequa delivering the NY Daily News and remember the cold. 1977.
  2. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    I had a Daily News paper route that year, and I remember the cold.
  3. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    I wish. Latest HRRR is under a quarter inch IMBY. Off to watch happy or unhappy New Englanders contemplate the biggest snow of the year. Even the low end from the Euro pretty much matches the best BOS has had in a very un-snowy cold season. GFS is about 10 inches. One thing, a decade ago, a lot of people inside Route 128 posted, very few Boston area people post anymore. My grandmother lived in Quincy, I have an interest. I have an interest in Long Island/Metro NYC, they had a couple of inches of snow earlier in the week and nothing else. The last tiny snow did stop their all time snow futility record from being set.
  4. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Several runs of the HRRR have the storms coming E on I-10 from SAT magically poof inside an hour as they approach Houston. Latest radar makes me think poofing down here happens earlier than that. Storms on the S end of the line are weakening. We could have used the rain. Dry pattern down here developing.
  5. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Alamodome is the gym...
  6. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Dallas County tornado warning verified, I guess.
  7. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Damage near the LSU campus. I didn't even know LSU had a Shreveport campus. Several videos on Twitter.
  8. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
  9. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Multi-Vortex on Brad Arnold's feed near Talco in Franklin County.
  10. Ed, snow and hurricane fan

    I assume Hall is real time on warnings, I could be wrong.  He has a pretty fancy home studio with at least one met on Zoom or Google Meets.  He can pick up chaser feeds.

  11. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Headed for/just N of Metroplex.
  12. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Unless Ryan Hall's warnings are delayed from realtime, there was TOG for almost 5 minutes before a warning.
  13. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Now there is.
  14. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Getting bigger, and still not warned.
  15. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Brad Arnold has a TOG in Hopkings County, not warned. On Ryan Hall. East Texas.
  16. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Durant, OK is building its own doppler because of the distance to OUN and FWD, Just learned that watching Ryan Hall. https://www.kten.com/story/46075087/durant-radar-to-enhance-texoma-storm-warnings
  17. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Tornado warning in Stephens County, SW of Caddo.
  18. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
  19. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    18Z 3km NAM more interested in line from W 6-7pm, but does develop cells around (not quite in) the Metroplex next 30 minutes, and soundings 2500 J/Kg ML CAPE, 60 knots shear, TT of 57, 7C low level, 8C 700-500 mb, that seems like it'd support gorilla hail.
  20. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    DFW airport is on the S side of the outflow now (2 pm) with ~20 mph S/SE winds. Not sure why nothing is developing S of the boundary yet, but the CINH on the 18Z sounding is gone, and SE 15-20 knots to SW 30 knots around 850 mb to SW 55 knots at 500 mb, that should produce.
  21. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Recent 18Z FWD showed substantial capping, but modifying the sounding for current conditions lessens the convective inhibition considerably. This modified sounding validates the current mesoanalysis, which suggests convective inhibition has eroded for area of north and central TX south of the Metroplex. A few surface-based storms are possible in this region, where wind profiles support supercells capable of all severe hazards, including very large hail and tornadoes.
  22. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    I suspect Kuchera products are generated by the weather model provider, not NCEP and the ECMWF, and may use slightly different algorithms to determine if something is falling as sleet, snow or rain, and thus will have different clowns. I could be wrong.
  23. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Dewpoint boundary is in the Metroplex now. DP bump not as important as S to SE winds near 20 mph which would enhance the hodo.
  24. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Small severe watch W/NW of metro DFW. I assume they will post a Tornado Watch later. SE winds near 20 mph and near 70F near Corsicana will liven this sounding up considerably.
  25. Ed, snow and hurricane fan
    Softball size hail kills less people (a pizza delivery driver in Fort Worth was killed during that tornadic storm (2000?) that hit downtown, running to get to his new truck and drive it under cover) but damages property over a lot bigger area than all but the longest tracked wedges, and the big tornado is possible, but the big hail seems more likely. The mid-90s Mayfest storm got my parents in Bedford (Mom is still alive and in Euless w/ my sister) a new roof. Roof was old, needed replacing, hail damage and AllState waived deductible for using Sears roofers.
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