Brian D
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Everything posted by Brian D
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Was just perusing the models, and came across this 384 from the 12z GFS from yesterday. Pretty wild stuff. Looks like a late Oct run. How much did we pay for this? Just saying. Wonder if we will see AI models really soon? Think that is being looked at, but funding will have to be allocated. I'm sure some private enterprises are working at having AI wx models. Will they be any better?? Hmmm....guess time will tell.
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Pretty good call here with a front pushing through the sub with shwrs/stms. Looks like a possible meso low may track along from the plains.
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Dry month here so far. 0.48" with not much on the table going forward. Glad July was very wet.
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If your able, edit photos in Paint on your desktop. I change them to GIF, and, if need be, reduce their size. Helps a lot.
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Shwrs/stms this morning with temps only in the low-mid 60's this aftrn. Cool day.
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Could be. This year I'm looking at Dec & Feb as possible well below normal, especially Feb.
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Summer winding down. Large flock of Canadian geese went overhead this morning.
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Been a dry, and seasonable Aug so far up my way (favoring the + side). Chance at precip in the next couple days. Early Fall wx starting to creep in next week. Much better than sticky, but this week has been pretty good with cooler mornings.
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Early data in for July. Warmer one in the books after a string of near avg in recent years. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively.
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Shwrs/stms moving in slowly this morning. Aug has been dry here so far, so hope to see precip today. Yesterday was a steamer with temps around 90 with mid 70 dews.
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Just off the top of my head, it seems that the W areas have seen stronger spikes in temps earlier in the season than over your way in recent years. Just the way the pattern ball bounces.
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Seems to me the smoke has been near surface more this year. A lot more AQ alerts. Other than that, wx here has been cloudy with widely scattered shwrs. Good relief for football practice.
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An ok cast. Pretty fair wx for the region. Front sagging in from the N across the Lakes.
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Ugly up in CAN. Smoke has thinned out here.
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Last Summer month. Clear out the smoke, and it might just be a decent month. Pleasant temps to start, if not a little chilly in the a.m., at least up my way.
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TH ends at 7.53" for July. 8th wettest. The lack of stms last weekend, that was forecast to be robust, had potential to bring me up into the top 5, but that's ok, a good rain for the month really helped us back to near avg on the YTD 18.38" (17.94" avg). Max avg 73 (75.1)/ Min avg 57.4 (54.5). 7am time adj will bump up the min by about 0.5. Max will be about the same. Cooler max/warmer min. Hmmm, where have I heard that before. (OK OK just sayin lol)
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Raining in the S sub, and smoked out in the N. I'll take the smoke over the high dews. I don't have A/C, so I tough it out.
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Stms didn't form around here yesterday. But the lower humidity this morning feels really nice.
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Summer 2025 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Brian D replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
That will feel nice. Too sticky for me. -
Heat adv, flood watch, and svr stm threat in my area today.
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Pretty good call here. Hotter wx with stms starting this weekend into early next week for the sub.
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Actually it isn't. That's USHCN data, so stns are the same. That dataset doesn't flip stns around. If data is missing, they estimate for the month. Secondly, I've seen a comparison of aftrn n morning stns for max temps, and the pattern is very similar. Sorry I don't have those graphs. The issue we are seeing now isn't max temps so much as higher mins, and less winter cold.
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It's looking like 1.5-2" of rain so far today. We'll see how the rest of the day fairs. Solid top 10 wet July for sure with rain totals in that range today. Maybe even top 5 at the end of the month.
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0.69" of rain yesterday. Another round moving in soon. 6.34" for the month so far. Could land in the top 10 wettest July's this year. #15 right now.
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Dear Lord of Heaven!! Cream cheese factory in high dews. UFFDA!! Not only does she take up 2 seats in the theatre, but she can't feel the armrest in the middle. Don't want to know where the armrest ends up either!
