Brian D
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Everything posted by Brian D
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Looking at the models today, this LES event will probably be extended into Fri pm. 2nd stm system is going to keep mid levels out of the E, with E/NE surface winds. Temps tho will being dropping during that time. 1-2' not out of the question (Wed-Fri) depending on band alignment & movement. Then the LES machine focuses on the south shore (N WI/ UP MI).
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Yep, snap of bitter cold air. Min's on this chart should be about right. Winds should keep air mixed. If they go calm, daybreak temps plummet quick, but I don't think that'll be the case this time around with the forecast pressure gradient. Wind chills the big factor. A calm -30 is easier to deal with than -30 wind chill. Wind like a knife. Hurts.
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At the top of that graphic is what I'm expecting in my area. LES event underway right now, especially around Silver Bay to my NE. Radar showing an area of mod/hvy snow right where that bullseye is on the storyboard below. Modelling did a good job this time around.
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They bombed on this cast. Only 0.5"-2.5" being reported along the shore. Wed night-Fri should be much better with the clipper, and associated trough. With temps cooling down, especially in the mid levels, the lake should really help with totals around the head of the lake.
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Lake Superior baby!
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With HP to my N, and trough nearby, combined with colder air moving E/NE across Lake Superior, LES bands on tap my way. And a clipper moving in on the heels of this system brings me a decent chance at 6-12" this week. I'll take it.
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Another round of light snow coming my way. Lake band set up around Silver Bay to my NE. North Shore looking at 3-6"+. Next system looking to produce very well with the lake's help Wed pm-Thurs with 6-8"+ possible.
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Still waiting on datasets to report in for the Dec, but in the meantime, I went ahead and worked up my max/min avg map from various stations across the NC US. Haven't done this in quite a while, but with a near record/record Dec, thought it would be a good visual on how awesome a month it was. BTW, I use a dense rank method instead of standard ranking. Personally think it's a better ranking method for temps.
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2.5" my final total, but co-op site on the shore got 4.5". Crazy, but there must of been a pocket of mod snow that clipped them, and rode the E side of town. No obs E of town, so can't be sure what happened. Next clipper later in the week with some cold air behind that for a quick cold snap. Big action staying S the next week or so with Chi town, and possibly the Motor City getting in on the action. Have fun guys.
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GOOD LUCK you guys. Enjoy this system.
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2-3" of snow being reported early this morning up my way. 2.2" IMBY. Temps running 31-32, so wet stuff. Plows out for the first time this season.
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Very nice to see that this clipper may produce with the lake's help mainly Fri night into Sat am with lingering snow showers into Sun am. Need to build up the snowpack. Mostly cloudy with flurries today.
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NW TREND! NW TREND!
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Found better versions sometime ago. My graphics are not changing tho. Still hand drawn Paint versions is my speed.
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President's Day forecast looks interesting for the S areas. Hope it pans.
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Valentine's Day forecast looking interesting. Storm watch around mid-Feb.
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BTW, I'm assuming we no longer have a troll issue. That will be so nice.
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Time to start building a snowpack around here, or else serious frost related issues are going to happen later in Feb/March. Happy New Year ev1. Unfortunately, a bad start for some in Japan. Prayers for them.
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TH broke its Dec monthly avg record at 31.8, besting 30.3 set in 1931. 42.1 (41.3 avg) for the year places it tied 18th out of 61 unique temps in the record since 1894. Dec snowfall at 1.4" is ranked 7th least snowiest, but precip at 3.42" edged out 2015 (3.41") for the record. 30.59" for the year was near avg (31.72").
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That ends 2023. Happy New Year EV1
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So-so cast here. Front I indicated is actually a clipper moving SE, and ends up in the southern areas on the 1st. What looked like two separate systems, is actually one quickly moving through.
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1.5" of SNOW from that band before it moved on. Not expecting much more, unless a wave from the N/NE gains a little strength overnight.
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Snow band has formed along the N Shore. It's turning white. Hasn't looked like this since Halloween.
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Snow showers around the area this morning with the system moving through. Hoping for a lake band later to at least make the ground white. S Shore looking at 3-6" potential.
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Yeah, up my way TH is looking at it's warmest Dec ahead of 1931 (currently 31.8 with 1931 at 30.3) , and Duluth is looking at 2nd warmest behind 1877 (currently 30.2 with 1877 at 32.7). These should hold just fine, as dep are still going to be above normal for the rest of the month. Departures across NE MN are running 12-15d above normal as of today.
