Brian D

Having colder wx to start off Sept really is refreshing. Bound to happen tho. Years of hot starts don't last forever. The beauty of weather, and it's cycles.

Scattered shwer/stms along the lake last night, and this morning (lake enhanced with trough hanging over the lake). Nice to get a few drops of rain in to end the month. 0.25" ends the month with 1.17" (3.48" avg). Max 73.3 (74 avg). Min 58.1 (56 avg). 7am readings will put min avg up to 58.8 with max about the same. Similar to July with cooler max, and warmer min.

This year I'll end 2025 at Christmas, and start 2026 with the New Years eve/day forecast. Christmas period needs to be watched with energy from the W, and S possibly affecting us. This was a harder one to decipher, so less sure how this pans. Could be good, or a nothing burger. For the sake of Christmas travelling, a nothing burger would be best, or at least wait until after to slam if it comes to that.

Pearl Harbor Day looking fair, and cold with HP over the sub. LES events during this time.

Thanksgiving looks pretty decent overall with HP over the region (a little on the chilly side). LES, along with possible energy affecting the southern most parts of the sub.

Going to end the year with these last 4 Holiday forecasts. Veteran's Day could be quite active with possible storm. Issued a stm watch for that time period.

Good call for this forecast. Enjoy your holiday weekend.

Another chilly a.m. with Duluth 40 (t3rd), Hibbing 36 (4th), I-Falls 39 (t6th). Significantly cool air mass for this time of year to be sure. Scattered shwrs/stms cast for tomorrow, so hope to get under some of that. Other than that, pretty seasonable wx overall to end the month after the front blows thru as avg temps start their Fall slide. Upper 60's-low 70's with upper 40's-low 50's. Inland areas may get a little cooler with radiational cooling. A very nice Labor Day weekend on tap. Looks like my Holiday forecast will be pretty good.

Chilly day yesterday. Low max temps; I-Falls 62 (8th), Hibbing 57 (3rd), Duluth 57 (t3rd), Brainerd 65 (t6th), Ashland, WI 60 (t2nd). This morning's lows I-Falls 36 (5th), Hibbing 36 (3rd), Duluth 43 (t4th), Brainerd 44 (t7th).

It depends on whether starting the cooler wx this early, and we see more of it thru Sept. Then it will. Recent years have seen some pretty large LES dumps due to very warm waters going into the winter season. Waters do cool pretty quickly if colder air stays around long enough. Hope that's the case this year. Better to have manageable LES events than up to your roof in one event.

Looks like top 5 cool mornings on tap tomorrow, and Tues. Frost adv issued. Possible with low max temps, as well, today, and tomorrow.

After a dry Aug in my neck of the woods, hoping for more precip starting in Sept. To me, it looks like a roller coaster pattern early, and later in Sept, with mid month sporting some very cool wx. Need the rain tho so as not to fall to far behind. Did well in July with it being the 8th wettest here in TH bringing YTD to near avg at the end of that month.

^Much nicer without any smoke. I swear, this year was one of the worst for that. More AQ alerts as the smoke was near surface many more days than the past few years. Probably because the fires were mainly concentrated in SC CAN than being more in the W CAN areas. With more distance, the smoke was more aloft then.

0.35" from a stm that moved through last night bringing the monthly total to 0.91" which is well below normal. Today feels like late Sept wx moved in on a NW wind. Highs in the 60's(maybe low 70's) with 30's/40's for lows the next few days. Great football wx tho.

Just a little something for all the ruckus in here this month,

Was just perusing the models, and came across this 384 from the 12z GFS from yesterday. Pretty wild stuff. Looks like a late Oct run. How much did we pay for this? Just saying. Wonder if we will see AI models really soon? Think that is being looked at, but funding will have to be allocated. I'm sure some private enterprises are working at having AI wx models. Will they be any better?? Hmmm....guess time will tell.

Pretty good call here with a front pushing through the sub with shwrs/stms. Looks like a possible meso low may track along from the plains.

Dry month here so far. 0.48" with not much on the table going forward. Glad July was very wet.

If your able, edit photos in Paint on your desktop. I change them to GIF, and, if need be, reduce their size. Helps a lot.

Shwrs/stms this morning with temps only in the low-mid 60's this aftrn. Cool day.

Could be. This year I'm looking at Dec & Feb as possible well below normal, especially Feb.

Summer winding down. Large flock of Canadian geese went overhead this morning.

Been a dry, and seasonable Aug so far up my way (favoring the + side). Chance at precip in the next couple days. Early Fall wx starting to creep in next week. Much better than sticky, but this week has been pretty good with cooler mornings.

Early data in for July. Warmer one in the books after a string of near avg in recent years. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively.

Shwrs/stms moving in slowly this morning. Aug has been dry here so far, so hope to see precip today. Yesterday was a steamer with temps around 90 with mid 70 dews.