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Everything posted by Brian D
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Very nice day today. Low 50's with a cumulus sky. Come Friday, tho, looks like rn/frz rn over to some snow on Sat. GFS keeps flipping me from hvy sn to mix. Other models keeping a mix, which seems more reasonable. If there was a bit more ice on the Lake, then I would have a chance at all snow. Border areas may get a decent hit, tho. Come late Sat into Sun, that 2nd low might turn out pretty good.
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Parent's day in late July looks pretty good with scattered stms. Again, could be pretty warm, even hot for some.
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Come July 4, looking at a CAN front affecting the N areas, and it looks pretty nice, and could be rather warm (hot) for some.
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Juneteenth this year, believe it or not, I gave a forecast for that 4 yrs ago to a troll. Here's my cast for that day. Generally fair with a CAN front pushing in during the day. (I rechecked, and I'm staying with it)
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For Memorial Day this year, I'm expecting a wet end to the holiday weekend. Should start off pretty decent, tho.
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Spring 2025 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Brian D replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Outlook this Spring....warms up, and turns into Summer. -
Crap snow for me in town with only 2", but areas to the N got 4-10". Lots of white rain yesterday aftrn when the snow started back up for me, and it was intermittent. But the precip was very welcome. That's a silver lining.
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Measured 1.9" of snow this morning as a heavy band moved through. Looks like a dry slot for now. We shall see what develops later.
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Davenport WBO reported 2.5". 1936-12-01 0.00 0.0 0 32 19 1936-12-02 0.00 0.0 0 38 27 1936-12-03 T T 0 40 24 1936-12-04 0.00 0.0 0 29 20 1936-12-05 0.65 2.5 2 34 22 1936-12-06 0.00 0.0 1 35 -3 1936-12-07 0.00 0.0 1 22 -3 1936-12-08 0.00 0.0 1 38 22 1936-12-09 0.00 0.0 T 41 32 1936-12-10 T T T 35 7 1936-12-11 0.00 0.0 T 21 2 1936-12-12 0.00 0.0 T 44 18 1936-12-13 0.00 0.0 T 45 25 1936-12-14 0.00 0.0 T 46 35 1936-12-15 0.00 0.0 T 50 29 1936-12-16 0.00 0.0 T 48 32 1936-12-17 0.00 0.0 T 36 29 1936-12-18 0.00 0.0 T 31 28 1936-12-19 0.00 0.0 T 35 24 1936-12-20 0.00 0.0 T 36 26 1936-12-21 0.00 0.0 T 37 26 1936-12-22 T 0.0 T 38 19 1936-12-23 0.00 0.0 T 52 35 1936-12-24 T 0.0 0 55 38 1936-12-25 0.04 0.0 0 59 50 1936-12-26 0.56 0.0 0 56 49 1936-12-27 0.26 0.0 0 52 30 1936-12-28 0.00 0.0 0 35 29 1936-12-29 0.03 0.0 0 47 35 1936-12-30 1.18 T 0 59 27 1936-12-31 0.00 0.0 0 37 27
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Looking for a good hit on Sunday. Unfortunately it'll be during the day when most of it falls, so it will be very wet, and probably mix with rain for a while, at least here along the shore.
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An OK forecast. There is a system moving in starting on St Patrick's Day, and strengthening over the next couple days. 2nd half of March is looking as anticipated (active), at least as of today.
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March 14-15 Severe Weather Outbreak
Brian D replied to HillsdaleMIWeather's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
A little solo to start the blood pumpin for the active day. This particular solo turned out well mixed with the symphony accompaniment. -
Thunderstorms blowing through this morning with a brief flurry of hail up to 0.5". Usually don't see this around here until late April at the very least.
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Hit 60 here in town again, breaking the record of 55 (2014), DLH hit 62 breaking the record of 58 (2015). A slew of records across MN/WI/UP MI region with some being substantial. Daily records that are 5+ from 2nd place are rather common across the N half of our sub, which shows how extreme swings are much more common than one would think. When I started researching that a few years ago, was surprised at the results.
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After a warm couple days, avg temps today. Then back to warmer, and back to avg. Seesaw, whiplashes. Might get to have some thunder Friday night. You'd think I was in the S Sub
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Record high here in town of 60. Looks like another record going down today, 55 (2014) here in town as forecast is for upper 50's (possibly 60 again). Edit: Looks like Duluth set a record as well. 57 beat 55 (2021). Today's record for them is 58 (2015), and could go down as well.
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Temps peaking around 60 today on W wind. Very nice early Spring day. Possible record depending on what the co-op site records as it stands at 59 (1977). Looking at similar temps tomorrow before a front blows through, and drops max temps into the 30's. Temps will rebound back to 45-50 ahead of that strong LP moving into the region along with potentially heavier rains. Need the precip (wish it was snow though).
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Early data in for Feb, and a little colder this year (much colder than last year). Winter ended avg with Dec being on the warm side offsetting the somewhat colder months of Jan/Feb. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively.
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Mother's Day looks pretty nice. A CAN front will move into the NW areas of the sub. Looking like a bit of a rollercoaster in the first half of May with CAN systems followed by HP's bringing days of warmer/cooler wx with scattered shwrs/stms.
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2" of snow here in town. Still a light snow falling. Yesterday it was changing from snow to white rain, and back as temps were in the mid 30's. Sloppy start to the precip that crusted overnight. Mid 20's now.
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Started snowing here in town around 3 pm. Starting to collect on the grass, and my deck. Temp at 35, but should lower a bit more as the Sun wanes, and snow cools the air off more. Progged for 1-2", but might do a little better, hopefully.